Match Analysis: Athletic Bilbao vs Oviedo – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-09
- Time: 1:00 PM UTC
- Location: San Mamés, Bilbao
Game Overview
Athletic Bilbao hosts Real Oviedo in a competitive La Liga match at San Mamés. Athletic Bilbao enters after two consecutive defeats including a 2-0 loss in the Champions League, while Oviedo drew scoreless at home in their last outing. Recent form favors Athletic despite recent setbacks, with Oviedo showing resilience but limited offensive output.
Key Factors to Consider
- Athletic Bilbao has lost its last two matches but generally performs strongly at home. Oviedo has shown defensive discipline with a 0-0 draw but lacks scoring consistency.
- Over the last 19 meetings, Athletic Bilbao leads narrowly with 7 wins against Oviedo's 6, and 6 draws, reflecting a historically balanced rivalry.
- No major injury concerns reported for either team, maintaining squad stability.
- No significant external factors; home advantage for Athletic Bilbao at San Mamés is a notable edge.
- Athletic Bilbao is motivated to bounce back after recent losses and maintain league standing, while Oviedo aims to secure points to avoid relegation threats.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Athletic Bilbao: -196, Oviedo: +675, Draw: +280 | Athletic Bilbao | ★★★★☆ 78% |
| Spread | Athletic Bilbao -1: -115, Oviedo +1: -105 | Athletic Bilbao -1 | ★★★★☆ 70% |
| Over/under | Over 2.25: -105, Under 2.25: -115 | Under 2.25 | ★★★☆☆ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Athletic Bilbao -5% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 2.25 12% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.25 at 12% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 14% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Athletic Bilbao to win on the moneyline; Athletic Bilbao -1 on the spread; Under 2.25 goals
Predicted Score: 2-0