Match Analysis: Atalanta BC vs Sassuolo – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-09
- Time: 11:30 AM UTC
- Location: Gewiss Stadium
Game Overview
Atalanta BC hosts Sassuolo in a Serie A clash where both teams are level on 13 points and closely matched in league standings. Atalanta aims to end a winless streak and regain stability, while Sassuolo hopes to secure valuable points to climb the table.
Key Factors to Consider
- Atalanta has struggled recently without consistent wins but benefits from playing at home and their historical dominance. Sassuolo is performing steadily but lacks the ability to consistently challenge stronger sides.
- Atalanta holds a significant edge over Sassuolo with 19 wins in their last 28 encounters, including recent 2-0 and 3-0 league wins and a 3-1 cup victory.
- No major injury reports available, suggesting both lineups should be near full strength.
- Match played at Atalantaβs home, Gewiss Stadium, provides home advantage. Weather and travel conditions are typical with no disruptions expected.
- Atalanta is motivated to break their winless spell and reclaim momentum; Sassuolo aims to continue securing points to avoid slipping down the table.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Home: -216, Draw: 365, Away: 550 | Home (Atalanta BC) win | β β β β β 75% |
| Spread | Atalanta BC -1.25: 105, Sassuolo +1.25: -125 | Atalanta BC -1.25 | β β β ββ 62% |
| Over/under | Over 2.75: -115, Under 2.75: -105 | Under 2.75 goals | β β β ββ 68% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Atalanta BC -5% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 2.75 17% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 2.75 at 17% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 18% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Atalanta BC to win
Predicted Score: 2-0