Match Analysis: Hawaii Rainbow Warriors vs San Diego State Aztecs - Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-09
- Time: 4:00 AM UTC
- Location: Clarence T.C. Ching Athletics Complex
Game Overview
San Diego State Aztecs (7-1, 4-0 MW) visit Hawaii Rainbow Warriors (6-3, 3-2 MW) in a pivotal Mountain West matchup. The Aztecs are heavy favorites on the road, with a strong recent form and dominant H2H record. Hawaii has shown offensive firepower but inconsistent defense, especially in recent losses.
Key Factors to Consider
- San Diego State is 7-1 overall and 4-0 in conference, riding a six-game win streak. Hawaii is 6-3 overall and 3-2 in conference, coming off a high-scoring loss to San Jose State. SDSUβs defense has been stout, allowing only 7 points in their last game. Hawaiiβs defense has given up 38+ points in two of their last three games.
- San Diego State has won 5 of the last 6 meetings, including a 27-24 win in their most recent clash. The Aztecs have consistently controlled the matchup, especially on defense.
- No major injuries reported for either team at this time. Both squads are expected to field full-strength lineups.
- Game is played at Hawaiiβs home venue, but the Aztecs have proven capable of winning on the road. Weather is expected to be mild with no significant impact on play.
- San Diego State is fighting for a conference title and potential playoff implications. Hawaii is aiming to stay in the top half of the Mountain West but faces a tough test against the leagueβs top team.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | home: 215, away: -265 | San Diego State Aztecs | β β β β β 78% |
| Spread | home: 7, away: -7 | San Diego State Aztecs -7 | β β β β β 74% |
| Over/under | over: 49.5, under: 49.5 | Under 49.5 | β β β β β 70% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | San Diego State Aztecs -1% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 49.5 23% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 49.5 at 23% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 25.8% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
San Diego State Aztecs to win outright and cover the spread, with a low-scoring game due to SDSUβs defensive dominance.
Predicted Score: San Diego State 27, Hawaii 20
This Pick Releases in 259 Minutes!
Unlock NOW by Sharing This Post!