Match Analysis: Oregon State Beavers vs Sam Houston State Bearkats – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-09
- Time: 3:00 AM UTC
- Location: Reser Stadium, Oregon State
Game Overview
Oregon State Beavers host Sam Houston State Bearkats in a heavily one-sided NCAAF matchup, with Oregon State favored to dominate both the moneyline and spread. Sam Houston State is enduring a long losing streak and has struggled offensively and defensively throughout the season, while Oregon State has shown modest improvement with recent consecutive wins.
Key Factors to Consider
- Oregon State holds a 2-7 record but has won two consecutive games recently, including a tough 10-7 home victory. Sam Houston State is winless at 0-8 and has lost eight straight, with a recent heavy defeat of 55-14 on the road.
- No recent direct head-to-head games found, but given conference levels (Pac-12 for Oregon State vs FBS independent status or lower conference for Sam Houston), Oregon State holds a clear quality and competitive edge.
- No significant recent injuries reported affecting starting personnel for either team; Oregon State appears healthier and more stable.
- Game held at Oregon Stateβs home stadium, giving the Beavers home field advantage. Weather and other external conditions are standard and not expected to impact the game.
- Oregon State is motivated to solidify their standing and push for bowl eligibility, while Sam Houston Stateβs morale is low after multiple losses and poor recent performance.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Oregon State -1350 / Sam Houston +800 | Oregon State Beavers | β β β β β 94% |
| Spread | Oregon State -20.5 -110 / Sam Houston +20.5 -110 | Oregon State Beavers -20.5 | β β β β β 88% |
| Over/under | Over 53.5 -108 / Under 53.5 -112 | Under 53.5 | β β β β β 75% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Oregon State Beavers 1% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 53.5 42% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 53.5 at 42% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 47% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Oregon State Beavers to win outright, cover the spread, and the total score to go under 53.5 points.
Predicted Score: Oregon State Beavers 34 – Sam Houston State 10