Match Analysis: Notre Dame Fighting Irish vs Navy Midshipmen – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-08
- Time: 12:30 AM UTC
- Location: Notre Dame Stadium, South Bend, Indiana
Game Overview
The No. 10 Notre Dame Fighting Irish (6-2), featuring a top-ranked run defense and led by QB CJ Carr and RB Jeremiyah Love, face the Navy Midshipmen (7-1) known for the nation's top rushing offense and QB Blake Horvath. Notre Dame is a heavy favorite with dominant historical success in the series (83-13-1) and recent form in their favor, while Navy looks to leverage their rushing attack and disruption in poor weather conditions.
Key Factors to Consider
- Notre Dame recently shut out Boston College 25-10 and has a strong defense, especially against the run. Navy just suffered a 31-17 loss to North Texas but remains formidable on the ground, ranked first nationally in rushing offense.
- Notre Dame leads the all-time series decisively at 83-13-1. Navy is 1-4 against Notre Dame against the spread in recent matchups. Notre Dame has string of consecutive wins over Navy.
- No major injury concerns reported for either side impacting key players CJ Carr, Jeremiyah Love (Notre Dame) or Blake Horvath (Navy).
- Forecast predicts cold and possibly rainy weather, conditions favorable for Navy's run-heavy style and likely to hinder Notre Dame's passing offense.
- Notre Dame aims to avoid an upset and maintain top-10 standing, while Navy seeks to prove Group of 5 superiority and bounce back quickly from a loss.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Notre Dame Fighting Irish: -3200, Navy Midshipmen: +1400 | Notre Dame Fighting Irish | β β β β β 92% |
| Spread | Notre Dame Fighting Irish -26.5: -112, Navy Midshipmen +26.5: -108 | Notre Dame Fighting Irish -26.5 | β β β β β 75% |
| Over/under | Over 55.5: -102, Under 55.5: -118 | Under 55.5 | β β β β β 70% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Notre Dame Fighting Irish -5% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 55.5 11% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 55.5 at 11% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 12.8% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Notre Dame Fighting Irish to cover the 26.5-point spread
Predicted Score: Notre Dame 38 – Navy 10