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Christian Leroy Duncan vs. Marco Tulio Silva Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Christian Leroy Duncan vs Marco Tulio Silva – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-08
  • Time: 12:15 AM UTC
  • Location: UFC Apex, Las Vegas, Nevada, United States

Game Overview

Christian Leroy Duncan faces Marco Tulio Silva in a Middleweight bout on the main card of UFC Vegas 111. Duncan is a tall, switch-hitting striker with knockout power, while Silva is a resilient, high-volume striker with strong grappling defense. The fight is a clash of styles, with Duncan's aggression and Silva's durability and counter-striking.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Duncan has shown marked improvement, finishing Eryk Anders in August with a dominant striking display. Silva is undefeated (14-1) and lands at a high rate (7.54 sig strikes/min) but has never faced a fighter with Duncan's reach and power. Duncan lands 4.83 sig strikes/min and defends 51% of strikes, while Silva defends 61% but absorbs more volume.
  • No prior H2H matchup exists between the two fighters.
  • No reported injuries for either fighter.
  • The fight takes place in Las Vegas, neutral site. Both fighters are in their prime (Duncan 30, Silva 31). No weather or travel issues.
  • Duncan is on a two-fight win streak and looking to break into the upper tier. Silva is undefeated in the UFC and motivated to maintain his record and climb the rankings.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline home: 154, away: -185 Marco Tulio Silva Not available
Spread home: 3.5 -135, away: -3.5 100 Marco Tulio Silva -3.5 Not available
Over/under over: 2.5 -125, under: 2.5 -105 Over 2.5 Not available

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Marco Tulio Silva -8%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.5 17%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 2.5 at 17% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 21.3% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Marco Tulio Silva wins by decision. Silva's high-volume striking and superior defense will neutralize Duncan's aggression over three rounds. Duncan's knockout power is a threat, but Silva's resilience and ability to absorb and return fire make him the safer pick for a decision victory.

Predicted Score: Marco Tulio Silva wins by unanimous decision (30-27, 29-28, 29-28)


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Christian Leroy Duncan vs. Marco Tulio Silva Prediction

Match Analysis: Christian Leroy Duncan vs Marco Tulio Silva – Prediction Match Details Date: 2025-11-08 Time: 12:15 AM UTC Location: UFC Apex, Las Vegas, Nevada, United States Game Overview Christian Leroy Duncan faces Marco Tulio Silva in a Middleweight bout on the main card of UFC Vegas 111. Duncan is a tall, switch-hitting striker with […]

Christian Leroy Duncan Marco Tulio Silva MMA/Boxing November 9, 2025

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Gabriel Bonfim vs. Randy Brown Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Gabriel Bonfim vs Randy Brown – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-08
  • Time: 2:15 AM UTC
  • Location: UFC APEX, Las Vegas

Game Overview

Gabriel Bonfim (18-1-0) faces Randy Brown (20-6-0) in a welterweight main event at UFC Vegas 111. Bonfim is a rising submission threat with elite grappling, while Brown is a veteran with strong striking and cardio. Bonfim is favored by bookmakers, but Brown’s experience and reach could make this competitive.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Bonfim has won 10 straight, including a split decision over Stephen in his last outing. Brown has gone 3-2 in his last five, with losses to top-tier competition. Bonfim’s recent form is superior, but Brown’s losses came against higher-ranked fighters.
  • No previous meetings between Bonfim and Brown.
  • No reported injuries for either fighter.
  • Bonfim is 35, Brown is 28. Bonfim has a reach disadvantage (72.5” vs 78”), but higher takedown and submission averages. Brown has a slight edge in striking accuracy and volume.
  • Bonfim is on a long win streak and looking to solidify his status as a top welterweight. Brown is motivated to rebound after recent losses and prove he still belongs in the upper tier.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline home: -170, away: 142 Gabriel Bonfim ★★★★☆ 74%
Spread home: -13.5, away: 13.5 Gabriel Bonfim -13.5 ★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under over: -135, under: 105 Over 2.5 ★★★★☆ 72%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Gabriel Bonfim -2%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.5 13%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 2.5 at 13% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 17.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Gabriel Bonfim wins by submission in the second round.

Predicted Score: Gabriel Bonfim defeats Randy Brown via submission (rear-naked choke) at 3:12 of Round 2


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Matt Schnell vs. Joseph Morales Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Matt Schnell vs Joseph Morales – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-08
  • Time: 1:45 AM UTC
  • Location: UFC Apex, Las Vegas, Nevada

Game Overview

Top-15 UFC flyweight Matt Schnell (17-9, 1 NC) and Joseph Morales (14-2) meet at UFC Vegas 111 in a pivotal matchup for the division. Schnell is a veteran, high-volume striker with submission savvy but recent durability questions, while Morales is younger, improving, and excels in scrambling and submission hunting.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Schnell is the more active striker (4.13 significant strikes/minute vs. Morales' 2.02), but has lost all seven UFC fights by stoppage; Morales is on a run of strong form, averaging nearly 3 submission attempts per fight, and has shown superior durability and finishing instincts.
  • No direct H2H, but Morales' grappling and scrambling are stylistically troublesome for Schnell, who has been susceptible to being worn down and finished.
  • No recent injury concerns reported for either fighter.
  • Card placement is pre-lim at UFC Apex; no crowd or travel concerns. Morales is younger and likely fresher; Schnell is 35, potentially nearing the tail of his prime.
  • Morales is rising, motivated to climb the division; Schnell is fighting to avoid a potential release after going 1-3 in last 4, with all losses by stoppage.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Joseph Morales -425 / Matt Schnell +330 Joseph Morales wins ★★★★☆ 78%
Spread Joseph Morales -7.5 (-165) / Matt Schnell +7.5 (+120) Joseph Morales (-7.5) covers ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over 1.5 (-175) / Under 1.5 (+135) Over 1.5 rounds hits ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Joseph Morales -4%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 1.5 2%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 1.5 at 2% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 3.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Joseph Morales' superior durability, superior finishing threat, and momentum will see him break through Schnell's early activity, dominate the scrambles, and either submit or outwork Schnell late for a clear decision.

Predicted Score: We project a competitive (possibly back-and-forth) opening but for Morales to wear Schnell down and win in the 2nd half of the fight, likely by submission, or a clear 29-28/30-27 decision.


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Chris Padilla vs. Ismael Bonfim Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Chris Padilla vs Ismael Bonfim – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-09
  • Time: 12:45 AM UTC
  • Location: UFC Apex, Las Vegas

Game Overview

Lightweight bout between Chris Padilla and Ismael Bonfim at UFC Vegas 111, featuring two orthodox fighters with Padilla slightly taller and longer wingspan. Both have aggressive styles but Bonfim is a -198 favorite on moneyline with strong striking accuracy and defense.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Padilla is 16-6 with a gritty, pressure fighting style leading to 16 of 22 fights ending inside the distance. Bonfim is 20-5 with higher significant strike output and defense. Padilla is more aggressive and finishes fights inside distance whereas Bonfim has more consistent striking defense and accuracy.
  • No previous direct matchups between Padilla and Bonfim recorded.
  • Bonfim recently suffered a first knockout loss in his 14-year career, which may impact confidence and risk taking. Padilla has no reported recent injuries.
  • Fight at UFC Apex in Las Vegas with no notable external disruptions; Padilla an underdog with strong mental fortitude having won UFC fights as an underdog previously.
  • Padilla eager to continue exceeding expectations, coming off a string of UFC underdog wins, highly motivated to sustain momentum. Bonfim likely motivated to rebound from recent KO loss but may fight more cautiously.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Chris Padilla: +164, Ismael Bonfim: -198 Ismael Bonfim ★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread Chris Padilla +3.5: -135, Ismael Bonfim -3.5: 100 Ismael Bonfim -3.5 ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under Over 2.5 rounds: -125, Under 2.5 rounds: -105 Under 2.5 rounds ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Ismael Bonfim -7%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 11%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 11% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 11.9% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Ismael Bonfim moneyline win

Predicted Score: Ismael Bonfim wins by decision in 3 rounds


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Muslim Salikhov vs. Uros Medic Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Muslim Salikhov vs Uros Medic – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-09
  • Time: 12:00 AM UTC
  • Location: UFC Vegas 111

Game Overview

Muslim Salikhov faces Uros Medic in a welterweight UFC matchup. Salikhov is a seasoned striker known for dynamic stand-up, while Medic is a powerful knockout artist with recent momentum, having defeated Gilbert Urbina via first-round KO in August 2025.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Salikhov has a versatile striking style but recent performances show less finishing power, whereas Medic has demonstrated significant knockout capability recently, boosting his confidence and form.
  • No prior head-to-head matchup exists between Salikhov and Medic, making this a first encounter with limited direct comparative data.
  • No reported injuries affecting either fighter leading into this bout.
  • Fight takes place at UFC Vegas 111, a neutral venue with no significant travel disadvantages for either fighter. Both competitors have shown robustness in similar environments.
  • Medic's recent KO victory and rising momentum provide high motivation; Salikhov seeks to re-establish himself against a younger contender, adding personal stakes for redemption.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline -148 for Uros Medic, +124 for Muslim Salikhov Uros Medic ★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread Muslim Salikhov +3.5 at 105, Uros Medic -3.5 at -140 Uros Medic -3.5 ★★★☆☆ 58%
Over/under Over 1.5 rounds at 140, Under 1.5 rounds at -180 Over 1.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 62%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Uros Medic -4%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 1.5 44%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 1.5 at 44% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 31.4% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Uros Medic to win via moneyline

Predicted Score: Uros Medic wins by KO/TKO late in round 2 or early round 3


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Hyder Amil vs. Jamall Emmers Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Hyder Amil vs Jamall Emmers – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-08
  • Time: 11:40 PM UTC
  • Location: UFC Apex, Las Vegas

Game Overview

Hyder Amil and Jamall Emmers clash in a featherweight contest at UFC Vegas 111. Amil enters as the favorite with an 11-1 record, known for his high output striking and pressure style. Emmers, a more experienced 21-8 veteran with a reach advantage, relies on wrestling and durability but tends to absorb more damage. The fight is expected to be a tactical striking and pace battle.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Hyder Amil boasts a higher significant striking rate (6.84/min) and accuracy (57%) compared to Emmers (5.45/min, 49%). Amil also absorbs slightly more strikes but counters with high volume and finishing ability. Emmers' experience includes a wrestling base and higher strike defense (56% absorption rate), making him resilient.
  • No known direct prior matchups between Amil and Emmers, so analysis relies on style and statistical matchup.
  • No recent injuries reported for either fighter, both are reportedly fully fit for this bout.
  • Fight held at UFC Apex in Las Vegas, neutral venue advantageous to both. No external disruptions or unusual factors affecting preparation.
  • Amil, at 35, is motivated to maintain his rising trajectory and avenge a recent KO loss by returning with a strong performance. Emmers, at 36, looks to leverage his experience and notch a significant win to revive his ranking.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Hyder_Amil: -147, Jamall_Emmers: +127 Hyder Amil ★★★★☆ 72%
Spread Hyder_Amil_-3.5: -110, Jamall_Emmers_+3.5: -120 Hyder Amil -3.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over_1.5: -145, Under_1.5: +110 Over 1.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 68%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Hyder Amil 1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 1.5 5%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 1.5 at 5% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 6.9% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Hyder Amil to win on the moneyline, via decision or late stoppage, with the fight going over 1.5 rounds.

Predicted Score: Hyder Amil wins by decision or TKO within 3 rounds


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Ricky Simon vs. Raoni Barcelos Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Ricky Simon vs Raoni Barcelos – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-08
  • Time: 11:15 PM UTC
  • Location: UFC Apex, Las Vegas

Game Overview

Ricky Simon faces Raoni Barcelos in a bantamweight bout at UFC Vegas 111. Simon is a high-volume wrestler with relentless pressure, while Barcelos is a dangerous striker with recent momentum and strong striking stats. The fight is expected to be a high-paced, tactical battle with Simon’s wrestling likely dictating the pace.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Simon averages over 5 takedowns per fight and controls opponents with top pressure. Barcelos lands nearly 5 significant strikes per minute with 52% accuracy, but absorbs more damage than Simon. Simon defends 61% of strikes, Barcelos 60%.
  • No prior H2H matchup exists between the two fighters.
  • No public injury reports for either fighter.
  • Fighting at the UFC Apex in Las Vegas, both fighters are in familiar territory. No major weather or venue issues expected.
  • Barcelos is on a two-fight win streak with decisive victories, seeking to climb the rankings. Simon is motivated to rebound and reestablish himself as a top contender.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline home: -175, away: 145 Ricky Simon ★★★★☆ 74%
Spread home: -3.5, away: 3.5 Ricky Simon -3.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under over: -250, under: 190 Over 2.5 ★★★★☆ 78%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Ricky Simon 7%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.5 5%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Ricky Simon at 7% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 12% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Ricky Simon wins by decision, using his wrestling to control Barcelos and neutralize his striking over three rounds.

Predicted Score: Ricky Simon wins by unanimous decision, 30-27, 29-28, 29-28


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Mayra Bueno Silva vs. Jacqueline Cavalcanti Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Mayra Bueno Silva vs Jacqueline Cavalcanti – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-08
  • Time: 10:50 PM UTC
  • Location: UFC Apex, Las Vegas, Nevada, United States

Game Overview

Bantamweight UFC bout between Mayra Bueno Silva and Jacqueline Cavalcanti, with Cavalcanti favored by sportsbooks based on recent form and odds.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Jacqueline Cavalcanti has been dominant in recent fights, notably defeating Julia Avila via unanimous decision and entering as the largest favorite on the card; Mayra Bueno Silva has a solid record but is the underdog here.
  • No direct prior matchups recorded between Bueno Silva and Cavalcanti.
  • No current injury reports affecting either fighter at the time of analysis.
  • Fight takes place at UFC Apex in Las Vegas—neutral venue with no reported travel or external distractions.
  • Both fighters are highly motivated to advance in the bantamweight division, but Cavalcanti’s recent winning streak and dominant performances give her an edge in confidence.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Cavalcanti -250, Bueno Silva +205 Jacqueline Cavalcanti ★★★★☆ 74%
Spread Cavalcanti -3.5 @ 120, Bueno Silva +3.5 @ -165 Jacqueline Cavalcanti -3.5 ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under Over 2.5 -375, Under 2.5 +270 Under 2.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Jacqueline Cavalcanti -4%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 159%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 159% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 58.9% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Jacqueline Cavalcanti to win on moneyline

Predicted Score: Jacqueline Cavalcanti wins by unanimous decision within 3 rounds


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Josh Hokit vs. Max Gimenis Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Josh Hokit vs Max Gimenis – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-08
  • Time: 10:25 PM UTC
  • Location: UFC Apex, Las Vegas, NV

Game Overview

Josh Hokit faces Max Gimenis in a heavyweight MMA bout at UFC Vegas 111. Hokit is making his promotional debut with an undefeated 6-0 record, showcasing dominant finishes mostly in the first round, blending strong wrestling and evolving striking. Gimenis comes in as underdog with less momentum.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Hokit is undefeated (6-0) with 6 finishes, mostly early stoppages, coming off a TKO win in his last fight. Gimenis has a less impressive recent form and is generally seen as the underdog.
  • No recorded head-to-head matchups between Hokit and Gimenis.
  • No reported injuries for either fighter leading into the bout.
  • Hokit is debuting in UFC after a strong DWCS performance, carrying high momentum and support. The bout takes place at UFC Apex, a neutral venue with no home advantage.
  • Hokit is highly motivated to establish himself with a strong UFC debut. Gimenis is motivated but disadvantaged by market perception and momentum.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline home: -425, away: +330 Josh Hokit ★★★★☆ 78%
Spread home: -310, away: +215 Josh Hokit -3.5 rounds ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under over: +120, under: -154 Over 1.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Josh Hokit -1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 1.5 32%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 1.5 at 32% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 26.7% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Josh Hokit to win on the moneyline and cover the -3.5 round spread; fight to go over 1.5 rounds.

Predicted Score: Josh Hokit wins via TKO in Round 2


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Tecia Torres vs. Denise Gomes Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Tecia Torres vs Denise Gomes – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-08
  • Time: 10:00 PM UTC
  • Location: UFC Apex, Las Vegas, Nevada

Game Overview

The bout features Tecia Torres, a seasoned UFC strawweight with experience but recent form struggles, against Denise Gomes, a rising contender with aggressive striking and solid grappling. This fight is expected to test Torres' durability against Gomes' momentum.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Denise Gomes is on an upward trajectory with recent wins showing her evolving skill set and finishing ability, while Tecia Torres has had mixed outcomes and slightly declining recent performances.
  • No previous head-to-head matchups exist between Tecia Torres and Denise Gomes, making this a fresh tactical encounter with no direct historical data.
  • No significant injuries reported for either fighter leading into the bout, suggesting both are at full strength.
  • The fight takes place at UFC Apex in Las Vegas, an environment both fighters are accustomed to, minimizing travel or acclimation issues.
  • Denise Gomes appears highly motivated to climb the rankings and make a statement, whereas Tecia Torres seeks to regain momentum after recent setbacks.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Denise Gomes: -175, Tecia Torres: +150 Denise Gomes ★★★★☆ 72%
Spread Denise Gomes: -3.5 +130, Tecia Torres: +3.5 -170 Tecia Torres +3.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over 2.5: -410, Under 2.5: +280 Under 2.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 68%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Denise Gomes -9%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 158%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 158% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 56.6% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Denise Gomes to win via moneyline.

Predicted Score: Denise Gomes wins by decision or late stoppage (2 – 1 rounds)


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