Match Analysis: New Mexico State Aggies vs Kennesaw State Owls – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-08
- Time: 9:00 PM UTC
- Location: Aggie Memorial Stadium, Las Cruces, NM
Game Overview
The 6-2 Kennesaw State Owls visit the 3-5 New Mexico State Aggies with Kennesaw State heavily favored. The Owls have momentum from a six-game winning streak, while the Aggies are on a three-game losing streak.
Key Factors to Consider
- Kennesaw State Owls hold a superior 6-2 record with recent dominant performances, including a 33-20 win over UTEP. New Mexico State has struggled with a 3-5 record and three consecutive losses, including a recent 35-16 defeat.
- Limited recent direct matchups; no indication New Mexico State can match Kennesaw's current form and efficiency.
- No significant injury updates reported for either team affecting key players.
- Game played outdoors at New Mexico State's home field with favorable weather (79Β°F, no rain, light wind). Travel for Kennesaw State is a factor but unlikely to offset form disparity.
- Kennesaw State motivated to maintain a strong season trajectory and secure a conference advantage; New Mexico State must fight to salvage their campaign and avoid further decline.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | -355 for Kennesaw State, +280 for New Mexico State | Kennesaw State Owls | β β β β β 82% |
| Spread | -9.5 (-110) for Kennesaw State, +9.5 (-110) for New Mexico State | Kennesaw State Owls -9.5 | β β β β β 72% |
| Over/under | Over 52.5 (-105), Under 52.5 (-115) | Over 52.5 | β β β ββ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Kennesaw State Owls -3% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 52.5 17% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 52.5 at 17% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 18% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Kennesaw State Owls moneyline
Predicted Score: Kennesaw State 35 – New Mexico State 17