Match Analysis: AS Monaco vs RC Lens – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-08
- Time: 8:05 PM UTC
- Location: Stade Louis II
Game Overview
AS Monaco hosts RC Lens in a pivotal Ligue 1 clash between two top-four contenders. Both teams are in strong form, with Monaco coming off a Champions League win and Lens riding a winning streak. The match promises high intensity and tactical discipline.
Key Factors to Consider
- Monaco: 6W-2D-3L, strong at home (4-1-1), recent Champions League win. Lens: 7W-1D-3L, best away record (2-1-2), solid defense and recent 3-0 win. Both teams have scored consistently and shown resilience.
- Monaco leads H2H: 14 wins, 14 draws, 8 losses. Last 5 meetings: Monaco 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss. Lens won the last H2H 4-0, but Monaco has dominated overall.
- No major injuries reported for either side. Both squads are at full strength.
- Monaco has home advantage and a strong home record. Lens has the best away record in the league. Weather is favorable for attacking play.
- Both teams are fighting for Champions League qualification. Monaco needs a win to close the gap on Lens, while Lens aims to maintain their top-three position.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | 105 | AS Monaco | β β β β β 74% |
| Spread | -122 | AS Monaco -0.25 | β β β β β 72% |
| Over/under | -118 | Over 3 | β β β β β 70% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | AS Monaco 13% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 3 7% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: AS Monaco at 13% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 12.1% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Monaco to win and over 3 goals
Predicted Score: 3-1