Match Analysis: Le Havre vs Nantes – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-08
- Time: 6:00 PM UTC
- Location: Stade Océane, Le Havre
Game Overview
Le Havre host Nantes in a Ligue 1 clash where Le Havre enter as slight favorites with home advantage. Both teams show mixed recent form with Le Havre slightly better positioned in the league. The matchup is expected to be competitive and relatively low scoring given recent defensive trends and historical encounters.
Key Factors to Consider
- Le Havre have a 3-4-4 record with a recent unbeaten run in 3 games, climbing to 12th position. Nantes have a poorer recent form with 2-6-3 and ended their previous match with a home defeat. Le Havre's home form is marginally superior to Nantes' away struggles.
- Recent H2H meets show tightly contested matches, including a 3-2 Le Havre win in a previous fixture. Under 2.5 goals occurred in 3 of the last 4 Ligue 1 H2H matches, suggesting close games with limited scoring.
- No significant injuries reported that would heavily impact starting elevens of either side according to available lineups and sources.
- No major external disruptions noted. Le Havre’s home pitch offers slight tactical advantage. Public betting heavily favors Le Havre, indicating market confidence though possibly skewing value.
- Le Havre, sitting mid-table, motivated to capitalize on home advantage to consolidate position. Nantes, on a poor run, motivated to break the slump away but recent form and confidence are issues.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Le Havre -114, Nantes +335, Draw +230 | Le Havre | ★★★☆☆ 68% |
| Spread | Le Havre -0.5 -112, Nantes +50 -108 | Le Havre -0.5 | ★★★☆☆ 65% |
| Over/under | Over 2.25 -108, Under 2.25 -112 | Under 2.25 | ★★★★☆ 72% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Le Havre 13% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 2.25 17% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.25 at 17% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 19.4% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Le Havre to win on the moneyline, Le Havre -0.5 on the spread, and Under 2.25 goals for over/under.
Predicted Score: 1-0