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Tondela vs. Vitória SC Prediction Primeira Liga in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Tondela vs Vitória SC – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-08
  • Time: 6:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Tondela Home Stadium

Game Overview

A closely contested Liga Portugal fixture where mid-table Vitória SC face bottom-placed Tondela at their home ground. Vitória SC have a slight recent form edge but Tondela show strong home scoring tendencies.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Vitória SC sit higher in the table (8th-10th) with mixed away form (40% win rate) while Tondela are struggling near relegation (17th) but have strong home attacking output with 70% of home matches over 2.5 goals. Both teams concede regularly, suggesting open play.
  • Historically, Vitória SC hold a lead with 8 wins to Tondela's 5 in their last 16 encounters. Matches tend to be competitive with moderate scoring averages.
  • No specific injury reports available which could significantly impact starting lineups, indicating likely full-strength squads.
  • No notable external factors such as extreme weather or travel fatigue reported. Match at Tondela's home grounds favors the hosts' attacking style.
  • Tondela face relegation danger motivating strong home performance; Vitória SC seek to distance themselves from mid-table, incentivizing a positive result on the road.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Tondela: +174, Vitória SC: +166, Draw: +212 Vitória SC ★★★☆☆ 62%
Spread Tondela: -105, Vitória SC: -115 Vitória SC 0 spread (draw no bet) ★★★☆☆ 58%
Over/under Over 2.25: +108, Under 2.25: -128 Under 2.25 goals ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Vitória SC 20%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.25 3%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Vitória SC at 20% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 11.9% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Moneyline: Vitória SC to win

Predicted Score: 0-1


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Tondela vs. Vitória SC Prediction

Match Analysis: Tondela vs Vitória SC – Prediction Match Details Date: 2025-11-08 Time: 6:00 PM UTC Location: Tondela Home Stadium Game Overview A closely contested Liga Portugal fixture where mid-table Vitória SC face bottom-placed Tondela at their home ground. Vitória SC have a slight recent form edge but Tondela show strong home scoring tendencies. Key […]

November 8, 2025 Soccer Tondela Vitória SC

MORE FROM PRIMEIRA-LIGA

Alverca vs. Rio Ave FC Prediction Primeira Liga in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Alverca vs Rio Ave FC – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-08
  • Time: 3:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Alverca Home Ground

Game Overview

Alverca hosts Rio Ave FC in a Portugal Primeira Liga match where both teams are struggling to find form, with Alverca especially poor in defense at home and Rio Ave showing moderate recent performance.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Alverca has won no matches in four league games, scoring 2 goals and conceding 7, with particularly weak home defense (5 goals conceded in 2 matches). Rio Ave has also failed to win but has a slightly better attack and defense ratio in away matches.
  • Limited recent data indicates no wins for either side with at least one draw; Rio Ave has historically edged these encounters slightly but does not dominate decisively.
  • No specific injury data available for either team; no major absences reported, which suggests lineups should be near full strength.
  • The match is at Alverca's home ground; no unusual external conditions or disruptions noted. Betting odds suggest a close match with slight home favoritism.
  • Both teams are motivated to secure points early in the season to avoid relegation threats; Rio Ave may have marginally higher motivation given recent draws and competitive performances.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Alverca: +127, Rio Ave FC: +220, Draw: +220 Alverca ★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread Alverca -0.25: -105, Rio Ave +25: -115 Alverca -0.25 ★★★☆☆ 62%
Over/under Over 2.25: -110, Under 2.25: -110 Over 2.25 goals ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Alverca 18%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.25 11%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Alverca at 18% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 14.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Moneyline: Alverca win; Spread: Alverca -0.25; Over/Under: Over 2.25 goals

Predicted Score: 2-1


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Estoril vs. Arouca Prediction Primeira Liga in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Estoril vs Arouca – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-07
  • Time: 8:15 PM UTC
  • Location: António Coimbra da Mota Stadium

Game Overview

Estoril hosts Arouca in a mid-table Primeira Liga clash vital for both teams to improve standings. Estoril has a slight form edge boosted by a recent 4-0 home win, while Arouca struggles for consistency away. Both teams have scored but also conceded regularly, suggesting a moderately open game.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Estoril is in better recent form with a dominant 4-0 home victory in their last match, holding 1 win, 2 draws, 2 losses at home this season. Arouca has been less consistent, with more away defeats and lower goal output compared to Estoril's 15 home goals versus Arouca's 10 away.
  • H2H record over 20 matches is balanced: Estoril 7 wins, Arouca 8 wins, 5 draws. Their last meeting ended 1-1. Average goals per game in this fixture is 2.85, indicating moderately scoring contests.
  • No significant injury news impacting starting lineups for either side has been reported recently, so both teams should be near full strength.
  • Playing at home gives Estoril an advantage in familiar conditions. Weather or travel disruptions are not reported. The match timing allows full rest for Estoril after prior strong performance.
  • Both teams are motivated to climb the league table, but Estoril's recent commanding win can boost confidence and desire to consolidate home advantage.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline -101 Estoril ★★★★☆ 72%
Spread -122 Estoril -0.5 ★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under -115 Under 2.5 ★★★☆☆ 63%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Estoril 15%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 18%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 18% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 20.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Estoril Moneyline

Predicted Score: 2-1


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Gil Vicente vs. Santa Clara Prediction Primeira Liga in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Gil Vicente vs Santa Clara – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-03
  • Time: 8:45 PM UTC
  • Location: Estádio Cidade de Barcelos

Game Overview

Gil Vicente hosts Santa Clara in a Liga Portugal clash with both teams showing mixed form. Gil Vicente is strong at home, while Santa Clara struggles away but has shown recent improvement.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Gil Vicente has won 5 of their last 6 matches and 3 of their last 4 at home. Santa Clara has won 3 of their last 6 overall but only one away game in that stretch. Gil Vicente averages 1.25 goals scored and 0.5 allowed at home, while Santa Clara averages 0.71 scored and 1.14 allowed on the road.
  • Gil Vicente leads the all-time H2H 10 wins to 11, with 6 draws. In recent years, Santa Clara has won 9 of the last 20 meetings, but Gil Vicente has dominated at home, winning 3 of the last 4 home H2Hs.
  • No major injuries reported for either side.
  • Gil Vicente is playing at home, where they have a strong record and have kept 6 clean sheets in their last 9 home matches. Santa Clara is inconsistent on the road, with only one win in their last 6 away games.
  • Gil Vicente is fighting for a top-half finish and is in 5th place, while Santa Clara is battling relegation and needs points to climb out of the bottom half.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline 137 Gil Vicente ★★★★☆ 74%
Spread 100 Gil Vicente -0.25 ★★★★☆ 72%
Over/under 105 Under 2 ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Gil Vicente 37%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2 17%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Gil Vicente at 37% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 27.3% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Gil Vicente will win outright, cover the -0.25 spread, and the match will stay under 2 goals.

Predicted Score: 2-0


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FC Porto vs. Braga Prediction Primeira Liga in Soccer

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Match Analysis: FC Porto vs Braga – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-02
  • Time: 8:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Estádio Do Dragão

Game Overview

FC Porto hosts Braga in the Liga Portugal Round 10 at Estádio Do Dragão. Porto is historically dominant in this fixture and currently shows stronger form and defensive solidity at home, while Braga remains competitive but less consistent.

Key Factors to Consider

  • FC Porto has won 4 of their last 5 matches, scoring 13 goals and maintaining 7 clean sheets, ranking 3rd at home this season. Braga has a stable run but fewer wins (1 in last 5) and concedes on average 1 goal per match.
  • FC Porto leads the historical H2H with 32 wins to Braga's 12 and 12 draws since 2003, showing a strong home advantage with Porto winning dominant matches against Braga.
  • No critical injuries reported affecting starting lineups for either side, maintaining full strength.
  • Match played at FC Porto's Estádio Do Dragão, which favors the home team given their strong home form.
  • FC Porto is motivated to assert dominance at home to secure a top position in the table, while Braga aims to upset but lacks the recent form to confidently challenge.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline FC Porto: -188, Braga: 500, Draw: 305 FC Porto ★★★★☆ 75%
Spread FC Porto -1: -108, Braga +1: -112 FC Porto -1 ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under Over 2.5: 102, Under 2.5: -122 Under 2.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline FC Porto -8%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 9%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 9% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 11.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

FC Porto to win (Moneyline), FC Porto -1 spread, Under 2.5 goals

Predicted Score: 2-0


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Arouca vs. Moreirense FC Prediction Primeira Liga in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Arouca vs Moreirense FC – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-02
  • Time: 6:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Estádio Municipal de Arouca

Game Overview

Arouca hosts Moreirense FC in a Portugal Primeira Liga matchup featuring two teams with mixed recent performances and a closely contested head-to-head record.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Both teams are in poor recent form; Arouca has a weak home record with only 1 home win and several draws and losses, while Moreirense has managed 1 win in their last 4 away games, indicating inconsistent form.
  • Moreirense leads the recent head-to-head with 9 wins compared to Arouca's 7 in their past 18 meetings, but the margin is narrow and includes many draws, showing a fairly balanced rivalry.
  • No specific injury updates available; assume key players are generally available, but last-minute check is recommended.
  • The game is at Arouca’s home stadium which typically provides advantage, but recent home form undermines this; no unusual external factors noted.
  • Both sides need points to improve their league positions, but Moreirense's slightly better away form and past success may provide marginal psychological edge.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Arouca: +155, Moreirense FC: +176, Draw: +225 Moreirense FC ★★★☆☆ 58%
Spread Arouca: 0 -120, Moreirense FC: 0 +100 Moreirense FC +0 ★★★☆☆ 62%
Over/under Over 2.25: -115, Under 2.25: -105 Under 2.25 goals ★★★☆☆ 64%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Moreirense FC 27%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.25 21%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Moreirense FC at 27% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 15.3% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Moneyline: Moreirense FC to win

Predicted Score: 0-1


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AVS Futebol SAD vs. Tondela Prediction Primeira Liga in Soccer

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Match Analysis: AVS Futebol SAD vs Tondela – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-02
  • Time: 3:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Estádio Municipal de Vila das Aves

Game Overview

AVS Futebol SAD faces Tondela in a Primeira Liga clash with both teams struggling for consistency. AVS is winless in their last five matches, while Tondela has shown modest improvement but remains vulnerable. The match is expected to be low-scoring, with both sides lacking attacking firepower and defensive solidity.

Key Factors to Consider

  • AVS Futebol SAD has lost five consecutive matches across all competitions, indicating poor form and low confidence. Tondela has won two, drawn one, and lost two of their last five, showing some resilience but inconsistency. Both teams have struggled to score and have conceded regularly.
  • Recent H2H data is limited, but previous encounters suggest closely contested matches with low scoring. Neither team has dominated the other recently.
  • No major injuries reported for either side, but both squads have depth issues, especially in attacking positions.
  • AVS is at home, but their home form is poor. Tondela travels with a compact squad and may be fatigued from recent fixtures. Weather is expected to be mild, with no significant impact on play.
  • Both teams are fighting to avoid relegation, adding pressure. AVS needs a win to boost morale, while Tondela seeks to consolidate their position above the drop zone.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline home: 210, away: 134, draw: 215 Tondela ★★★☆☆ 68%
Spread home: -122, away: 102 Tondela -0.25 ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under over: -112, under: -108 Under 2.25 ★★★★☆ 72%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Tondela 5%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.25 25%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.25 at 25% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 27.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Tondela to win or draw is the highest EV play, but for a single outcome, Tondela is favored due to better recent form and AVS's poor run.

Predicted Score: AVS Futebol SAD 0-1 Tondela


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Vitória SC vs. Benfica Prediction Primeira Liga in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Vitória SC vs Benfica – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-01
  • Time: 8:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Dom Afonso Henriques, Guimarães, Portugal

Game Overview

Benfica are dominant favorites given their strong away form and historical superiority over Vitória SC. Vitória SC have shown resilience at home but struggle against top clubs like Benfica. Both teams have attacking potential, and the match could see goals from both sides.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Benfica are undefeated in their last 4 away Primeira Liga matches with 3 wins and 1 draw, sitting 3rd in the table with 21 points. Vitória SC are mid-table (11th) with mixed recent form, scoring and conceding regularly at home.
  • Benfica have dominated with 35 wins in 49 clashes versus Vitória SC's 6, including a 3-0 away win on their last meeting on 19 April 2025. Recent meetings favor Benfica with 67% win rate.
  • No major injury concerns reported for either side that significantly impact starting XI or key players for this fixture.
  • Benfica's motivation to maintain top table position and secure European qualification contrasts with Vitória SC's aim to climb mid-table, possibly increasing Benfica's intensity.
  • Benfica are motivated to extend their unbeaten away run and capitalize on Vitória SC's inconsistency, while Vitória SC seek points to improve standing but face tough opposition.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Benfica: -220, Vitória SC: 500, Draw: 365 Benfica ★★★★☆ 72%
Spread Benfica -1.25: 102, Vitória SC +1.25: -122 Vitória SC +1.25 ★★★☆☆ 63%
Over/under Over 2.75: -105, Under 2.75: -115 Over 2.75 ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Benfica 2%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.75 13%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 2.75 at 13% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 13.9% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Moneyline: Benfica; Spread: Vitória SC +1.25; Over/Under: Over 2.75 goals

Predicted Score: Benfica 3 – 1 Vitória SC


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Casa Pia vs. CF Estrela Prediction Primeira Liga in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Casa Pia vs CF Estrela – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-01
  • Time: 6:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Estadio Municipal de Rio Maior

Game Overview

Casa Pia hosts CF Estrela Amadora in a tightly contested Portugal Primeira Liga match where both teams struggle near the relegation zone. Casa Pia shows slightly better recent form and home advantage, while Estrela have offensive challenges away from home. Historical encounters indicate low scoring and balanced competitiveness.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Casa Pia has 2 wins in last 9 matches with a deccent home record but fragile defense. Estrela Amadora struggles on the road with fewer goals scored and a leaky defense, holding just 6 wins overall compared to Casa Pia's 11.
  • In 6 matches, Casa Pia and Estrela have won 3 each, with no draws. Their last encounter ended 1-0 in favor of Casa Pia. Matches tend to be low scoring with an average of 1.83 total goals per game.
  • No major injury reports affecting starting lineups from available sources; both teams likely fielding expected lineups.
  • No significant external disruptions reported. Venue at Estadio Municipal de Rio Maior, a neutral-style stadium, may reduce usual home field impact but Casa Pia still holds advantage.
  • Both teams are motivated to climb away from lower table relegation threats. Casa Pia slightly more stable with recent form, increasing their push for points at home.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Casa Pia: 105, CF Estrela: 290, Draw: 215 Casa Pia ★★★★☆ 70%
Spread Casa Pia -0.5: 105, CF Estrela +50: -125 Casa Pia -0.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over 2: -128, Under 2: 108 Under 2 goals ★★★☆☆ 62%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Casa Pia 19%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2 29%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2 at 29% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 26.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Casa Pia to win the match with a low-scoring affair expected.

Predicted Score: 1-0


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Rio Ave FC vs. Estoril Prediction Primeira Liga in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Rio Ave FC vs Estoril – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-01
  • Time: 6:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Estadio do Rio Ave

Game Overview

Rio Ave FC hosts Estoril in a tightly contested Primeira Liga fixture. Both teams are in mid-table form, with Rio Ave showing solid home resilience and Estoril struggling for consistency on the road. Recent head-to-head matches have been close, and both sides are motivated to climb the standings. Injuries to key Estoril players and Rio Ave's strong home record tilt the balance slightly in favor of the hosts, but a draw remains a strong possibility.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Rio Ave has won 2 of their last 5 matches and drawn several others, maintaining a solid home record. Estoril has been inconsistent, alternating losses with occasional wins and currently sits just above the relegation zone. Rio Ave averages 1.5 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per home match, while Estoril averages 1.3 scored and 1.3 conceded per away match.
  • In 28 official meetings, Rio Ave has 14 wins, Estoril 8, and 6 draws. The last match ended 2-1 to Rio Ave. The average total goals per match in H2H is 2.79, with a slight edge to Rio Ave at home.
  • Estoril is missing Sanchez, Xeka, and Guitane due to injuries, weakening their attacking options. Rio Ave has no major suspensions or injuries reported.
  • Rio Ave has conceded in 17 of their last 19 home games, indicating vulnerability at the back. Estoril is likely to adopt a cautious approach given their injury crisis and Rio Ave's home strength.
  • Both teams are eager to climb the table, but Rio Ave has a slight edge in motivation as they look to extend their unbeaten home run and push for a top-half finish.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline home: 146, away: 195, draw: 215 Rio Ave FC Not available
Spread home: -134, away: 112 Rio Ave FC 0 Not available
Over/under over: -102, under: -118 Over 2.5 Not available

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Rio Ave FC 18%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.5 27%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 2.5 at 27% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 27.3% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Rio Ave FC to win the match.

Predicted Score: 2-1


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