Match Analysis: Atlético Madrid vs Levante – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-08
- Time: 5:30 PM UTC
- Location: Wanda Metropolitano, Madrid
Game Overview
Atlético Madrid, strong home favorites, face Levante, who struggle defensively and have poor away form. Atlético show solid recent results and motivation to maintain league momentum, while Levante are under pressure to secure points but likely to face difficulties.
Key Factors to Consider
- Atlético Madrid are 6-1-4 on the season with 2-2 in last 5 matches; Levante hold a 2-6-3 record and have defensive weaknesses. Atlético have better form and home advantage.
- Of last 10 matches, Atlético won 5, drew 3, Levante won 2. Recent home meetings favored Levante twice, but Copa del Rey last encounter saw Atlético win 2-0.
- No major injuries reported for Atlético; Levante have some squad depth issues reducing defensive solidity.
- Match held at Atlético’s home ground with strong fan support; no significant weather or travel issues affecting either team.
- Atlético motivated to consolidate a top position; Levante need points to avoid relegation battles, adding pressure but also urgency.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Atlético Madrid: -435, Levante: 1000, Draw: 550 | Atlético Madrid | ★★★★☆ 85% |
| Spread | Atlético Madrid -1.75: -118, Levante +1.75: -102 | Atlético Madrid -1.75 | ★★★★☆ 70% |
| Over/under | Over 3.25: +105, Under 3.25: -125 | Over 3.25 goals | ★★★☆☆ 68% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Atlético Madrid -8% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 3.25 23% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 3.25 at 23% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 21.9% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Atlético Madrid to win outright on the moneyline with over 3 goals in the match
Predicted Score: 3-1