Match Analysis: Juventus vs Torino – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-08
- Time: 5:00 PM UTC
- Location: Allianz Stadium, Turin
Game Overview
Juventus hosts Torino in the Turin derby, with the Bianconeri looking to build on recent improvements under new coach Luciano Spalletti. Both teams enter with high stakes: Juventus chasing a top-four spot, Torino keen to break a long winless streak against their city rivals.
Key Factors to Consider
- Juventus have improved notably under Spalletti, winning two of three league games and drawing in midweek Champions League action. They control games, create chances, and have tightened defensively compared to earlier in the season. Torino are more stable than in previous years but struggle for consistency and attacking output.
- Juventus dominate the head-to-head, with 27 wins, 1 loss, and 10 draws in the last 38 meetings. Last season, Juventus won at home 2-0 and drew 1-1 away. Torino have not beaten Juventus in years, and their recent progress has been marginal at best.[3][9]
- No major injury news reported for either side. Predicted lineups suggest both teams are at near full strength.[4]
- No significant external disruptions. Derby atmosphere at Allianz Stadium could slightly favor Juventusβs intensity and crowd support.
- Juventus are motivated to chase Champions League spots and build momentum under their new coach. Torino, while improving, are underdogs aiming to defy history and local odds.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Juventus -196, Torino +600, Draw +305 | Juventus | β β β β β 76% |
| Spread | Juventus -1 -115, Torino +1 -105 | Juventus -1 | β β β ββ 62% |
| Over/under | Over 2.25 -122, Under 2.25 +102 | Under 2.25 | β β β ββ 66% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Juventus 3% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 2.25 17% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 2.25 at 17% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16.8% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Juventus are clear favorites based on form, managerial momentum, and historical dominance. Expect a low-scoring, controlled derby win for the hosts.
Predicted Score: Juventus 1-0 Torino