Match Analysis: Army Black Knights vs Temple Owls – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-08
- Time: 5:00 PM UTC
- Location: Michie Stadium, West Point, NY
Game Overview
The Army Black Knights (4-4) host the Temple Owls (5-4) in an American Athletic Conference matchup. Army relies heavily on a powerful rushing attack, ranking 6th nationally in rushing yards, while Temple struggles significantly on run defense (ranked 120th). Temple features a balanced offense with efficient passing and a solid ground game. Both teams have similar records but contrasting strengths and weaknesses. The betting market favors Army on the moneyline and spread, with a total set at 45.5 points.
Key Factors to Consider
- Army's triple-option rushing offense is among the nation's best, generating sustained drives and controlling the clock, having covered 3 of their last 4 games. Temple has an average offense with a decent passing game and a productive ground attack led by Jay Ducker, but their defense is vulnerable against the run. Both teams have hovered around .500 this season (Army 4-4, Temple 5-4).
- Recent data on direct matchups is limited, but Army has shown strong performance at home and against spread in recent games. Temple has been competitive overall but less effective on the road against strong rushing attacks like Armyβs.
- No significant injury reports indicating major impact on either team's key offensive or defensive players.
- Game is played at Armyβs home field, Michie Stadium, a venue known to amplify Armyβs running game with crowd support and conditions favorable to their style.
- Temple is seeking a bowl-eligible season with a 5-4 record and needs a win to advance closer. Army wants to improve its standing in the conference and exploit its strength at home. Army's recent ability to cover spreads and Templeβs defensive struggles suggest Army has a slight motivational edge given home advantage in a critical conference game.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Army -240, Temple +198 | Army Moneyline | β β β β β 75% |
| Spread | Army -6.5 -114, Temple +6.5 -106 | Army -6.5 | β β β β β 70% |
| Over/under | Over 45.5 -110, Under 45.5 -110 | Under 45.5 | β β β ββ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Army Black Knights 94% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 45.5 15% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Army Black Knights at 94% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 47.3% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Bet on Army Black Knights to cover the -6.5 spread confidently, expecting a strong ground performance to control the game tempo and overcome Templeβs defense.
Predicted Score: Army 28 – Temple 17