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Penn State Nittany Lions vs. Indiana Hoosiers Prediction NCAAF in American Football

Match Analysis: Penn State Nittany Lions vs Indiana Hoosiers – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-08
  • Time: 5:00 PM UTC
  • Location: West Shore Home Field at Beaver Stadium, University Park, Pennsylvania

Game Overview

No. 2 Indiana Hoosiers (9-0, 6-0 Big Ten) face off against the struggling Penn State Nittany Lions (3-5, 0-5 Big Ten) in a pivotal Week 11 matchup. Indiana enters as heavy favorites with a top-ranked offense and solid defense, while Penn State is reeling from a coaching change, key injuries, and a lack of momentum.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Indiana is undefeated and boasts the 17th-ranked pass defense, averaging 55 points in their last game. Penn State has lost five straight, including a 38-14 defeat to Ohio State, and is ranked 14th in pass defense but has shown major offensive and defensive inconsistencies.
  • Indiana has historically struggled in Happy Valley, but Penn State’s recent form and turmoil make this matchup less predictable based on past results.
  • Indiana is dealing with some injuries but remains deep and resilient. Penn State is without starting QB Drew Allar for the season, severely limiting their offensive potential.
  • Penn State recently fired head coach James Franklin, creating instability and low morale. Indiana is motivated to remain unbeaten and make a statement on the road.
  • Indiana is playing for a playoff spot and program history. Penn State is fighting for pride and to avoid a historic low, but motivation appears low after the coaching change and losing streak.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Indiana Hoosiers: -750, Penn State Nittany Lions: 530 Indiana Hoosiers β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 82%
Spread Indiana Hoosiers: -14.5 -110, Penn State Nittany Lions: 14.5 -110 Indiana Hoosiers -14.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 74%
Over/under Over: 50.5 -110, Under: 50.5 -110 Over 50.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 68%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Indiana Hoosiers -7%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 50.5 30%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Over 50.5 at 30% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 32.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Indiana is the clear favorite and should dominate both sides of the ball. Penn State’s lack of leadership, injuries, and poor form make a cover and blowout likely.

Predicted Score: Indiana 41, Penn State 17


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Ole Miss Rebels vs. Citadel Bulldogs Prediction NCAAF in American Football

Match Analysis: Ole Miss Rebels vs Citadel Bulldogs – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-08
  • Time: 6:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Vaught-Hemingway Stadium, Oxford

Game Overview

Ole Miss Rebels, ranked #6 and 8-1 on the season, host The Citadel Bulldogs (4-5) in a non-conference matchup. Ole Miss is a heavy favorite, with a spread of -53.5 and a total set at 64.5. The Rebels are fighting for playoff positioning, while Citadel is out of contention. Weather is clear with no impact on play.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Ole Miss is averaging 37.8 points per game and 39.86 at home, while allowing just 18 points per game at home. Citadel is inconsistent, averaging 22 points per game on the road. Ole Miss has won 8 of 9, with a dominant offense and solid defense.
  • No prior meetings between the two teams.
  • No major injuries reported for either team.
  • Game is at Ole Miss’s home stadium, clear weather, no wind or rain. Citadel is a significant underdog with a 53.5-point spread.
  • Ole Miss is fighting for playoff positioning and needs a win to keep their hopes alive. Citadel is out of playoff contention and playing for pride.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline -1000 Ole Miss Rebels β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜… 92%
Spread -53.5 -110 Ole Miss Rebels -53.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 85%
Over/under 64.5 -110 Over 64.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 78%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Home 1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 64.5 49%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Over 64.5 at 49% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 53.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Ole Miss Rebels to win by more than 53.5 points and the game to go over 64.5 total points.

Predicted Score: Ole Miss Rebels 48, Citadel Bulldogs 14


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Liberty Flames vs. Missouri State Bears Prediction NCAAF in American Football

Match Analysis: Liberty Flames vs Missouri State Bears – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-08
  • Time: 6:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Williams Stadium (VA), Lynchburg, Virginia

Game Overview

Liberty Flames (4-4) host Missouri State Bears (5-3) in a CUSA matchup. Liberty is favored by 7.5 points with a total set at 51.5 points. Liberty has been inconsistent ATS this season, while Missouri State has a better ATS record and has covered the spread as an underdog multiple times.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Liberty is 4-4 overall and 3-1 in conference with recent strong offensive output, including a 59-30 win over Delaware. Missouri State is 5-3, 3-1 in conference, coming off a 28-21 win over Florida International. Liberty struggles ATS as favorites; Missouri State shows resilience as underdogs.
  • No recent direct matchups between these teams available, but given both are in the same conference, performances against common opponents are close. Liberty shows more home success.
  • No major injuries reported impacting either team's starting lineup or key players in this matchup.
  • Game played at Liberty home field Williams Stadium with stable weather (67Β°F, 0% rain). No reported external disruptions.
  • Both teams are fighting for better conference positioning; Liberty, as a .500 team, looks to assert control at home, Missouri State aims to continue its better overall winning record.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline home: -325, away: +260 Liberty Flames β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 72%
Spread home: -115, away: -105 Liberty Flames -7.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 68%
Over/under over: -102, under: -118 Under 51.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 63%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Liberty Flames -15%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 51.5 7%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Under 51.5 at 7% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 8.4% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Liberty Flames to win moneyline and cover the 7.5-point spread; game total to go under 51.5 points.

Predicted Score: Liberty Flames 28 – Missouri State Bears 18


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Eastern Michigan Eagles vs. Bowling Green Falcons Prediction NCAAF in American Football

Match Analysis: Eastern Michigan Eagles vs Bowling Green Falcons – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-08
  • Time: 6:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Rynearson Stadium, Ypsilanti, MI

Game Overview

Eastern Michigan Eagles host Bowling Green Falcons in a Mid-American Conference matchup where Eastern Michigan is slight favorite at home despite a poor 2-7 record. Bowling Green is 3-6 overall and struggling on the road with four straight road losses.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Bowling Green has a 3-6 record but recent form includes losing their last four away games. Eastern Michigan is 2-7 with five straight losses, showing stronger motivation to break the losing streak at home.
  • In the last meeting between these teams, Eastern Michigan dominated Bowling Green 55-24, indicating a strong past matchup advantage at home.
  • No significant injuries have been reported that materially affect either team's lineup for this game.
  • Weather at kickoff is 45Β°F with no rain and light wind, making conditions neutral for both teams. Public betting heavily favors Eastern Michigan.
  • Eastern Michigan is highly motivated to end their losing streak at home and improve their MAC standing, while Bowling Green looks to avoid further road losses.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Eastern Michigan Eagles: -142, Bowling Green Falcons: +120 Eastern Michigan Eagles β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 72%
Spread Eastern Michigan Eagles -2.5: -112, Bowling Green Falcons +2.5: -108 Eastern Michigan Eagles -2.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 68%
Over/under Over 50.5: -115, Under 50.5: -105 Over 50.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Eastern Michigan Eagles 6%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 50.5 8%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Over 50.5 at 8% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 9.7% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Eastern Michigan to win straight up, cover the 2.5-point spread, and the game to go over 50.5 points.

Predicted Score: Eastern Michigan Eagles 31 – Bowling Green Falcons 20


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Purdue Boilermakers vs. Ohio State Buckeyes Prediction NCAAF in American Football

Match Analysis: Purdue Boilermakers vs Ohio State Buckeyes – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-08
  • Time: 6:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Ross-Ade Stadium

Game Overview

Ohio State, ranked No. 1 and undefeated at 8-0 (5-0 Big Ten), travels to face a struggling Purdue team (2-7, 0-6 Big Ten) at Ross-Ade Stadium. The Buckeyes are heavy favorites, with a spread of -29.5 and a total set at 48.5 points. Purdue has not won since Week 2 and is coming off seven consecutive losses, while Ohio State has won eight straight, including a 45-0 shutout of Purdue last season.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Ohio State is dominant, averaging over 40 points per game and allowing under 15. Purdue is one of the worst offenses in the conference, averaging just 16 points per game and surrendering over 30. The Buckeyes have outscored opponents by an average of 25+ points per game, while Purdue has lost by double digits in five of their last six games.
  • Ohio State leads the all-time series 42-15-2 and has won the last three meetings, including a 45-0 shutout last season. The Buckeyes have covered the spread in each of the last three matchups.
  • No major injuries reported for either team. Ohio State’s depth and talent advantage is significant, especially on defense.
  • Ohio State is playing for a playoff spot and national title contention, while Purdue is out of contention and facing a rebuilding season. Weather is expected to be mild, with no impact on play.
  • Ohio State is highly motivated to maintain its undefeated record and playoff hopes. Purdue is playing for pride, but morale is low after a seven-game losing streak.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline home: 3000, away: -10000 Ohio State Buckeyes β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜… 98%
Spread home: 29.5 -105, away: -29.5 -115 Ohio State Buckeyes -29.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 82%
Over/under over: 48.5 -105, under: 48.5 -115 Over 48.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 74%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Ohio State Buckeyes -1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 48.5 27%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Over 48.5 at 27% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 28.3% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Ohio State will dominate Purdue in all phases, covering the spread and pushing the game over the total. The Buckeyes’ offensive firepower and defensive strength will overwhelm Purdue, who lacks the talent and momentum to compete.

Predicted Score: Ohio State 42, Purdue 10


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Texas Tech Red Raiders vs. BYU Cougars Prediction NCAAF in American Football

Match Analysis: Texas Tech Red Raiders vs BYU Cougars – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-08
  • Time: 5:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Jones AT&T Stadium, Lubbock, Texas

Game Overview

Texas Tech Red Raiders (8-1, 5-1 Big 12) host the undefeated BYU Cougars (8-0, 5-0 Big 12) in a high-stakes Big 12 conference matchup with College Football Playoff implications. Texas Tech is heavily favored but BYU is a strong team with a methodical offense and top defenses on both sides.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Texas Tech shows an explosive but less efficient offense paired with a top-3 defense in sacks and forced turnovers. BYU is balanced offensively with strong rushing and a ball-control style, ranking in the top 25 nationally in scoring and defense.
  • Both teams are in excellent recent form; BYU won recent road games as underdogs against Utah and Iowa State. Texas Tech is 5-0 ATS as a home favorite this season, while BYU has a strong 7-1 ATS record as underdog since last season.
  • No major injury reports affecting starting quarterbacks or key defensive players have been noted, implying both squads should field near full strength.
  • ESPN College Gameday presence indicates maximum national spotlight and motivation for both teams. BYU had an extra week rest due to a bye week; Texas Tech is highly motivated to maintain home dominance.
  • BYU is aiming to prove its elite status nationally as a top-10 team despite being double-digit road underdogs, while Texas Tech wants to secure their conference position and leverage home advantage.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Texas Tech: -375, BYU: +300 Texas Tech Red Raiders β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 78%
Spread Texas Tech -10.5 (-105), BYU +10.5 (-115) Texas Tech Red Raiders -10.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 70%
Over/under Over 52.5 (-105), Under 52.5 (-115) Under 52.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 72%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Texas Tech Red Raiders -6%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 52.5 12%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Under 52.5 at 12% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 14% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Moneyline: Texas Tech Red Raiders win outright; Spread: Texas Tech covers -10.5; Over/Under: Under 52.5

Predicted Score: Texas Tech Red Raiders 31 – BYU Cougars 17


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Mississippi State Bulldogs vs. Georgia Bulldogs Prediction NCAAF in American Football

Match Analysis: Mississippi State Bulldogs vs Georgia Bulldogs – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-08
  • Time: 5:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Davis Wade Stadium, Starkville, MS

Game Overview

No. 5 Georgia Bulldogs (7-1) face the Mississippi State Bulldogs (5-4) in a pivotal SEC matchup. Georgia is heavily favored on the road, with the spread set at -9.5 and the over/under at 56.5. Georgia enters off a narrow win over Florida, while Mississippi State narrowly defeated Arkansas in their last outing.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Georgia has dominated most of its schedule, with only one loss, and boasts a strong defense and balanced offense. Mississippi State has shown improvement but remains inconsistent, especially against elite SEC competition. Their run defense is a particular weakness.
  • Georgia has dominated the series in recent years, winning the last several matchups by double digits. Mississippi State has struggled to keep games close against Georgia.
  • No major injuries reported for either team as of the latest updates. Georgia’s depth and talent advantage remain intact.
  • Game is in Starkville, but Georgia’s road performance in SEC play has been solid. Weather is expected to be clear, favoring an open, high-scoring game.
  • Georgia is in the thick of the SEC title race and national playoff contention, while Mississippi State is playing for bowl eligibility and pride. Georgia’s motivation is at its peak.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Georgia Bulldogs: -345, Mississippi State Bulldogs: 275 Georgia Bulldogs β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 82%
Spread Georgia Bulldogs: -9.5 -112, Mississippi State Bulldogs: 9.5 -108 Georgia Bulldogs -9.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 74%
Over/under Over: 56.5 -110, Under: 56.5 -110 Over 56.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 68%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Georgia Bulldogs 6%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 56.5 30%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Over 56.5 at 30% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 32.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Georgia is the clear favorite and should cover the spread and win outright. The game is likely to be high-scoring, with Georgia’s offense exploiting Mississippi State’s defensive vulnerabilities.

Predicted Score: Georgia 38, Mississippi State 24


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Boston College Eagles vs. SMU Mustangs Prediction NCAAF in American Football

Match Analysis: Boston College Eagles vs SMU Mustangs – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-08
  • Time: 5:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Alumni Stadium, Chestnut Hill, MA

Game Overview

SMU Mustangs (6-3) visit Boston College Eagles (1-8) with SMU heavily favored due to superior recent form, balanced offense, and a struggling BC defense.

Key Factors to Consider

  • SMU has won 4 of its last 5 games including an upset over top-10 Miami, showing strong offense and defense. Boston College has lost 8 straight, scoring poorly and struggling defensively, ranking near the bottom in scoring defense.
  • SMU leads the series 2-1 and won their last meeting 38-28 at home in 2024, indicating recent dominance over Boston College.
  • No major injury updates for SMU; Boston College's key contributors are underperforming but no significant injury news reported.
  • Game played at Boston College's home stadium, but their poor home form and motivation issues reduce home advantage.
  • SMU is motivated to continue momentum after a marquee win and maintain bowl eligibility; Boston College struggles with motivation after a disappointing season.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Boston College +350, SMU -450 SMU Mustangs β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 85%
Spread Boston College +10.5 -110, SMU -10.5 -110 SMU Mustangs -10.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 78%
Over/under Over 53.5 -110, Under 53.5 -110 Under 53.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline SMU Mustangs -2%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 53.5 24%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Under 53.5 at 24% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 26.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

SMU Mustangs to win outright (moneyline), cover the 10.5-point spread, and the total score to go under 53.5 points.

Predicted Score: SMU Mustangs 31 – Boston College Eagles 17


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Arkansas State Red Wolves vs. Southern Mississippi Golden Eagles Prediction NCAAF in American Football

Match Analysis: Arkansas State Red Wolves vs Southern Mississippi Golden Eagles – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-08
  • Time: 5:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Centennial Bank Stadium, Jonesboro, Arkansas

Game Overview

This Sun Belt Conference matchup features the 6-2 Southern Mississippi Golden Eagles visiting the 5-4 Arkansas State Red Wolves. Both teams are riding winning streaks with Southern Miss undefeated in conference play and Arkansas State showing strong recent form. The Golden Eagles are favored on the moneyline and spread, but Arkansas State has won the last two head-to-head contests.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Southern Miss has won 4 consecutive games and holds a 6-2 record with strong offensive output. Arkansas State has also won 4 straight games, bringing momentum and confidence into this home game despite a slightly worse record (5-4). Southern Miss defense ranks top 10 in passing success rate, challenging Arkansas State's weaker passing offense.
  • Arkansas State has dominated recent meetings, winning 2 of the last 3 and both matchups last year by comfortable margins (44-28 and 44-37). This gives Arkansas State a psychological edge despite Southern Miss's better current season form.
  • No significant injury updates affecting key starters reported for either team, suggesting both squads will be near full strength.
  • Game played at Arkansas State's home stadium with mild weather (67Β°F, no rain, light wind), favoring the home side. Southern Miss has a slight disadvantage from travel but has managed away wins recently.
  • Both teams are motivated to improve conference standing. Arkansas State may have added motivation from previous head-to-head wins and home crowd support. Southern Miss wants to maintain its conference superiority and extend current winning streak.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Arkansas State Red Wolves: +160, Southern Mississippi Golden Eagles: -192 Southern Mississippi Golden Eagles β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 72%
Spread Arkansas State Red Wolves +4.5: -112, Southern Mississippi Golden Eagles -4.5: -108 Southern Mississippi Golden Eagles -4.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%
Over/under Over 55.5: -108, Under 55.5: -112 Over 55.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Southern Mississippi Golden Eagles -6%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 55.5 12%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Over 55.5 at 12% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 12.6% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Moneyline: Southern Mississippi Golden Eagles win

Predicted Score: Southern Mississippi Golden Eagles 31 – 24 Arkansas State Red Wolves


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Army Black Knights vs. Temple Owls Prediction NCAAF in American Football

Match Analysis: Army Black Knights vs Temple Owls – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-08
  • Time: 5:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Michie Stadium, West Point, NY

Game Overview

The Army Black Knights (4-4) host the Temple Owls (5-4) in an American Athletic Conference matchup. Army relies heavily on a powerful rushing attack, ranking 6th nationally in rushing yards, while Temple struggles significantly on run defense (ranked 120th). Temple features a balanced offense with efficient passing and a solid ground game. Both teams have similar records but contrasting strengths and weaknesses. The betting market favors Army on the moneyline and spread, with a total set at 45.5 points.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Army's triple-option rushing offense is among the nation's best, generating sustained drives and controlling the clock, having covered 3 of their last 4 games. Temple has an average offense with a decent passing game and a productive ground attack led by Jay Ducker, but their defense is vulnerable against the run. Both teams have hovered around .500 this season (Army 4-4, Temple 5-4).
  • Recent data on direct matchups is limited, but Army has shown strong performance at home and against spread in recent games. Temple has been competitive overall but less effective on the road against strong rushing attacks like Army’s.
  • No significant injury reports indicating major impact on either team's key offensive or defensive players.
  • Game is played at Army’s home field, Michie Stadium, a venue known to amplify Army’s running game with crowd support and conditions favorable to their style.
  • Temple is seeking a bowl-eligible season with a 5-4 record and needs a win to advance closer. Army wants to improve its standing in the conference and exploit its strength at home. Army's recent ability to cover spreads and Temple’s defensive struggles suggest Army has a slight motivational edge given home advantage in a critical conference game.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Army -240, Temple +198 Army Moneyline β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 75%
Spread Army -6.5 -114, Temple +6.5 -106 Army -6.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 70%
Over/under Over 45.5 -110, Under 45.5 -110 Under 45.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Army Black Knights 94%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 45.5 15%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Army Black Knights at 94% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 47.3% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Bet on Army Black Knights to cover the -6.5 spread confidently, expecting a strong ground performance to control the game tempo and overcome Temple’s defense.

Predicted Score: Army 28 – Temple 17


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