Match Analysis: Sevilla vs CA Osasuna – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-08
- Time: 3:15 PM UTC
- Location: Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán
Game Overview
Sevilla host CA Osasuna in La Liga with Sevilla slightly favored at home; recent form shows Sevilla struggling with 3 consecutive losses and Osasuna on a moderate streak. The matchup historically tends to be low scoring and tight defensively.
Key Factors to Consider
- Sevilla have a poor recent form of 1 win in last 5 matches and 3 consecutive losses, including a 3-0 defeat by Atlético Madrid. Osasuna have a 3-6-2 season record and played a 0-0 draw in their last fixture.
- In recent encounters, matches between these teams have been low scoring, with 5 of 6 meetings having 2 or fewer goals. Historically, Sevilla have a stronger overall record, especially winning more overall meetings, but Osasuna have a good home record in their direct clashes.
- No significant injuries reported for key players in the available data, both teams expected to field close to full strength.
- Home advantage for Sevilla with strong fan support at Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán, but current form limits confidence. Market and public betting heavily favor Sevilla with 91% bets on them despite poor form.
- Sevilla motivated to bounce back after consecutive losses and perform well at home, Osasuna seeking to continue decent form and capitalize on Sevilla's slump.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Sevilla: 116, Draw: 225, Osasuna: 255 | Sevilla | ★★★☆☆ 62% |
| Spread | Sevilla (-0.25): -118, Osasuna (+25): -102 | Sevilla -0.25 | ★★★☆☆ 60% |
| Over/under | Over 2.25: -110, Under 2.25: -110 | Under 2.25 | ★★★☆☆ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Sevilla 17% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 2.25 7% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Sevilla at 17% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 14.3% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Sevilla to win on the moneyline considering home advantage, superior squad quality, and motivation to rebound despite recent form.
Predicted Score: 1-0