Match Analysis: Everton vs Fulham – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-08
- Time: 3:00 PM UTC
- Location: Goodison Park, Liverpool
Game Overview
A tightly contested EPL matchup between Everton (14th place) and Fulham (15th place), separated by just one point. Everton are slight favorites at home, showing good possession and home strength, while Fulham have been competitive but winless away.
Key Factors to Consider
- Everton have maintained solid home form with dominant possession in previous home games; Fulham have struggled to secure away wins but have scored in 4 of their last 5 away matches.
- Recent encounters show balanced competitiveness with 4 out of last 6 matches featuring both teams scoring. The teams are closely matched in the Premier League table, indicating potential for a close game.
- No outstanding injury concerns significantly impacting starting lineups reported for either side at match time.
- Playing at Goodison Park gives Everton home advantage; Fulham's limited set-piece threat and corners away from home reduce their attacking variety.
- Both teams are motivated to climb from relegation-threatened positions (14th and 15th) which may encourage an open and competitive match rather than defensive caution.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Everton: 121, Fulham: 235, Draw: 225 | Everton | β β β ββ 68% |
| Spread | Everton -0.25: -112, Fulham +25: -108 | Everton -0.25 | β β β ββ 64% |
| Over/under | Over 2.25: -110, Under 2.25: -110 | Under 2.25 | β β β ββ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Everton 11% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 2.25 11% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 2.25 at 11% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 11.8% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Everton to win on the moneyline confidently, with both teams scoring and a modest goal total expected.
Predicted Score: 1-0