Match Analysis: Wrexham AFC vs Charlton Athletic – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-08
- Time: 3:00 PM UTC
- Location: Racecourse Ground
Game Overview
Championship clash between in-form Charlton Athletic and resilient Wrexham. Both sides have shown positive recent results, with Charlton on a strong run and Wrexham tough to beat at home.
Key Factors to Consider
- Wrexham: Two wins in last two home games, two draws and a loss in last five overall. Solid defensively, capable of grinding out results. Charlton: Three wins in last five, two wins in last three away. Consistent and dangerous in attack, but have drawn two of last five, showing some vulnerability.
- Last meeting: April 2025, Wrexham 3-0 Charlton (61% possession, 4 shots on target vs 2 for Charlton). Only two official meetings between the teams.
- No major injury concerns for either side reported in available previews.
- Wrexham with home advantage at a vocal Racecourse Ground. Weather and pitch conditions not reported as factors.
- Both teams in contention for promotion play-off spots; each will be highly motivated to secure a result.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Wrexham AFC: +120, Charlton Athletic: +210, Draw: +230 | Draw | β β β β β 70% |
| Spread | Charlton Athletic +25 (-109), Wrexham AFC -0.25 (-111) | Charlton Athletic +0.25 | β β β ββ 68% |
| Over/under | Over 2.25 (-109), Under 2.25 (-111) | Over 2.25 | β β β ββ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Charlton Athletic 16% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 2.25 5% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Charlton Athletic at 16% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 6.7% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
A tight, competitive match with both sides likely to score, but Charlton's better overall form and scoring consistency away from home offers slight edge.
Predicted Score: Wrexham 1-1 Charlton Athletic