Match Analysis: Girona vs Alavés – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-08
- Time: 1:00 PM UTC
- Location: Estadi Montilivi, Girona
Game Overview
Girona hosts Deportivo Alavés in a closely matched La Liga contest where both teams have shown inconsistency but Alavés display better tactical organization. Girona are fighting to avoid relegation, while Alavés have demonstrated resilience away from home.
Key Factors to Consider
- Girona have a 1-3 record in their last five games, struggling for form, while Alavés have mixed results but show tactical coherence despite back-to-back away defeats recently. Girona's home form offers a slight advantage.
- In eight top-flight encounters, Girona and Alavés are evenly matched with three wins each and two draws. Both teams won away fixtures last season, and their matches tend to be low scoring with an average below 2.75 goals per game.
- No critical injury information has been reported to significantly impact either side for this fixture.
- Home advantage favors Girona moderately given the venue and fan support. There are no notable adverse weather or scheduling issues.
- Girona faces pressure to secure points to avoid relegation battles, increasing their motivation. Alavés looks to maintain their league status with pragmatic play, likely prioritizing defensive solidity.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | home: +146, away: +205, draw: +212 | Draw | ★★★☆☆ 58% |
| Spread | Alavés +25: -130, Girona -0.25: +110 | Alavés +0.25 | ★★★☆☆ 62% |
| Over/under | over 2.25: +105, under 2.25: -125 | Under 2.25 Goals | ★★★★☆ 70% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Draw 25% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 2.25 26% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.25 at 26% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 32.5% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Draw
Predicted Score: 1-1