Match Analysis: Hull City vs Portsmouth – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-08
- Time: 12:30 PM UTC
- Location: MKM Stadium
Game Overview
Hull City hosts Portsmouth in an English Championship fixture with Hull City aiming to bounce back from a recent loss and continuing their solid home form, while Portsmouth struggles with scoring droughts and numerous injuries.
Key Factors to Consider
- Hull City has been strong at home lately, undefeated in last five home games but coming off a narrow 2-1 loss to Derby. Portsmouth is in poor form, failing to score in the last three league matches and sitting near the relegation zone.
- The most recent second-tier meeting ended in a 1-1 draw, with overall competitive but tight matches expected between these sides.
- Hull City has several key players injured (Belloumi, Lundstream, Matazo, Millar, Palmer), but no new injury concerns. Portsmouth faces a long injury list including Blair, Farrell, Lang, Schmid, Segecic, Shaughnessy, Umeh, and Waddingham, severely impacting their lineup.
- The match is at Hullβs MKM Stadium where they have strong home support and good recent results, increasing their confidence advantage.
- Hull City are motivated to recover from recent defeat and capitalize on home advantage, while Portsmouth aims to break their goal drought and improve standing but face tough odds with their weakened squad.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | home: +109, away: +215, draw: +250 | Hull City | β β β ββ 68% |
| Spread | Hull City: -0.25 -120, Portsmouth: +25 100 | Hull City -0.25 | β β β ββ 65% |
| Over/under | over_2.5: -111, under_2.5: -109 | Under 2.5 goals | β β β β β 70% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Hull City 21% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 2.5 21% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Hull City at 21% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 19.5% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Hull City to win on the moneyline, with a narrow 1-0 victory likely, and an overall low-scoring game under 2.5 goals.
Predicted Score: 1-0