Match Analysis: San Jose Sharks vs Winnipeg Jets – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-07
- Time: 3:00 AM UTC
- Location: SAP Center at San Jose
Game Overview
The Winnipeg Jets (9-4-0, 8th in goals scored, 4th in goals allowed) visit the San Jose Sharks (5-6-3) for the first time this season. Winnipeg has dominated recent head-to-head meetings, comes in with a strong road record, and is favored heavily by oddsmakers. The Sharks, while at home, have struggled against quality opponents and are facing a Winnipeg team seeking to rebound from a shutout loss.
Key Factors to Consider
- Winnipeg is 9-4-0 with a +0.9 goal differential per game, ranking top 10 in both scoring offense and defense. San Jose is 5-6-3 with inconsistent play, averaging fewer goals per game and a weaker defensive profile[1][2].
- Jets have won five straight over the Sharks and swept them last season (3-0), including an 8-3 and a 2-1 OT win. Winnipegβs recent dominance is a clear psychological and tactical edge[1].
- No major injuries reported for either side; no significant absences expected to impact this matchup.
- The game is in San Jose, but there are no notable travel concerns or scheduling quirks. Both teams are well-rested, with no back-to-back fatigue[1].
- Winnipeg is looking to bounce back from a rare shutout loss (3-0 vs. LA). San Jose is desperate for a statement win at home but faces a team that has repeatedly outclassed them.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Jets -210, Sharks +165 | Winnipeg Jets (Away) | β β β β β 85% |
| Spread | San Jose Sharks +1.5 (-155), Winnipeg Jets -1.5 (+125) | Winnipeg Jets -1.5 (+125) | β β β β β 75% |
| Over/under | Over 6 (-122), Under 6 (-103) | Under 6 (-103) | β β β ββ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Winnipeg Jets 0% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 6 14% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 6 at 14% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 14.7% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Jets continue their dominance over the Sharks, leveraging superior team defense, offensive depth, and historical head-to-head success. Expect Winnipeg to cover the spread and drive the game total just under the mark.
Predicted Score: Winnipeg Jets 3, San Jose Sharks 1