Match Analysis: Grand Canyon Antelopes vs Youngstown St Penguins – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-08
- Time: 2:00 AM UTC
- Location: Global Credit Union Arena, Phoenix
Game Overview
Grand Canyon Antelopes host Youngstown State Penguins in a non-conference NCAAB matchup. Grand Canyon enters as heavy favorites with a 1-0 record, while Youngstown State is 0-1 after a road loss to Pittsburgh. The Antelopes are dominant at home and have a clear edge in talent and recent form.
Key Factors to Consider
- Grand Canyon won their opener 90-71 over Purdue Fort Wayne, showing strong offensive output and defensive efficiency. Youngstown State lost 74-59 to Pittsburgh, struggling to score and defend on the road. Grand Canyon ranks 70th in points scored (78.3) and 89th in points allowed (69.5), while Youngstown State is 107th in scoring (76.4) and 176th in points allowed (71.9).
- No recent H2H data available, but Grand Canyonβs roster and program strength suggest a clear advantage.
- No injuries reported for either team.
- Grand Canyon is playing at home, where they are historically strong. Youngstown State is on the road, which may impact their performance. No weather or travel issues reported.
- Grand Canyon is motivated to build momentum early in the season, while Youngstown State seeks to rebound from a loss. However, the talent gap is significant.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | home: -1600, away: 820 | Grand Canyon Antelopes | β β β β β 94% |
| Spread | home: -12.5 -115, away: 12.5 -105 | Grand Canyon Antelopes -12.5 | β β β β β 78% |
| Over/under | over: 151.5 -114, under: 151.5 -110 | Under 151.5 | β β β ββ 68% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Grand Canyon Antelopes -0% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 151.5 30% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 151.5 at 30% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 32.8% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Grand Canyon will win comfortably and cover the spread. The game is likely to stay under the total due to Youngstown Stateβs offensive limitations and Grand Canyonβs defensive discipline.
Predicted Score: Grand Canyon 81, Youngstown State 66