Match Analysis: Samford Bulldogs vs South Carolina St Bulldogs – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-08
- Time: 1:30 AM UTC
- Location: Pete Hanna Center, Homewood, AL
Game Overview
Samford Bulldogs host South Carolina State Bulldogs in a non-conference matchup. Both teams enter 0-1, but Samford is a double-digit favorite at home with a projected total around 155 points.
Key Factors to Consider
- Samford lost 85-72 at Tulane, showing offensive capability but defensive vulnerability. South Carolina State was crushed 104-45 at Louisville, scoring just 45 points and shooting 22.8% from the field. Their defense allowed 104 points and 53.2% shooting. Samford averages 72 PPG, South Carolina State 45 PPG.
- Samford has won 3 of the last 4 meetings, including an 89-72 home win and 88-81 road win. They have a clear edge in recent H2H matchups.
- No major injuries reported for either team.
- Samford is at home, which historically boosts their performance. South Carolina State is on the road after a demoralizing loss. The game is streamed on ESPN+.
- Both teams are seeking their first win, but Samford has more talent and a stronger recent track record. South Carolina State is severely outmatched after their Louisville loss.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | home: -1205, away: +750 | Samford Bulldogs | β β β β β 88% |
| Spread | home: -13.5 -115, away: +13.5 -105 | Samford Bulldogs -13.5 | β β β β β 78% |
| Over/under | over: 155.5 -112, under: 155.5 -108 | Under 155.5 | β β β β β 74% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Home 0% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 155.5 31% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 155.5 at 31% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 33.4% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Samford is the clear favorite and should cover the spread comfortably. The game is likely to stay under the total due to South Carolina State's offensive struggles and Samford's recent defensive lapses.
Predicted Score: Samford 84, South Carolina State 63