Match Analysis: Southern Illinois Salukis vs UMKC Kangaroos – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-08
- Time: 1:00 AM UTC
- Location: Banterra Center, Carbondale, IL
Game Overview
Southern Illinois Salukis, a strong home team, face UMKC Kangaroos in an early season NCAA basketball matchup. Southern Illinois enters this game as significant favorites with dominant recent performance, while UMKC has shown resilience but trails in overall team strength.
Key Factors to Consider
- Southern Illinois won their last game 83-42, showing a potent offense and defense, ranking better in field goal percentage (46.1% vs UMKC's 43.0%) but worse defensively (44.7% allowed vs 43.3%). UMKC won their last game 80-74 but has a weaker assist stat and higher turnovers.
- Limited recent direct H2H data available, but Southern Illinois has a positive historical trend for covering spreads at home, with 8 of last 9 games covering 1H spread.
- No major injury reports for either team ahead of the game.
- The game is at Southern Illinois' home court, Banterra Center, giving the Salukis a significant home advantage verified by strong home performance trends.
- Both teams are 1-0 in the season, motivated to maintain momentum; Southern Illinois aims to assert dominance early, UMKC seeks to avoid a blowout and prove competitive.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | home: -1100, away: 700 | Southern Illinois Salukis | β β β β β 85% |
| Spread | home: -108, away: -112 | Southern Illinois Salukis -13.5 | β β β β β 76% |
| Over/under | over: -105, under: -115 | Under 144.5 | β β β β β 70% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Southern Illinois Salukis -4% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 144.5 3% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 144.5 at 3% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 3.3% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Southern Illinois to win comfortably but focusing on careful spreads and totals; take Southern Illinois to cover -13.5 and the game to go under 144.5 points.
Predicted Score: Southern Illinois 75 – UMKC 64