Match Analysis: North Carolina Tar Heels vs Kansas Jayhawks – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-08
- Time: 12:00 AM UTC
- Location: Dean E. Smith Center, Chapel Hill, NC
Game Overview
Early-season showdown between two top-25 blueblood college basketball teams, North Carolina Tar Heels and Kansas Jayhawks, both coming off dominant opening wins.
Key Factors to Consider
- Both teams started strongly with blowout wins: UNC 94-54 over Central Arkansas; Kansas 94-51 over Green Bay. UNC has home court advantage with solid offensive output led by freshman Caleb Wilson. Kansas features star freshman Darryn Peterson and a well-rounded backcourt.
- Kansas has held a recent 5-game winning streak over UNC, but UNC seeks to end this at home. Recent ATS trends favor UNC with Kansas struggling 2-7 ATS on the road recently.
- No significant injuries reported for either team; both squads appear at full strength.
- Game at UNCβs Dean Smith Center offers strong home crowd support and familiar conditions, beneficial to the Tar Heels. Early season form means little fatigue and fresh rosters.
- UNC motivated to defend home court and snap losing streak vs Kansas. Kansas wants to continue dominance but faces pressure on the road.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | North Carolina -118, Kansas -102 | North Carolina | β β β β β 72% |
| Spread | North Carolina -1.5 -102, Kansas +1.5 -118 | North Carolina -1.5 | β β β ββ 68% |
| Over/under | Over 156.5 -115, Under 156.5 -105 | Under 156.5 | β β β ββ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | North Carolina Tar Heels 7% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 156.5 27% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 156.5 at 27% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 28.3% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
North Carolina Tar Heels win on moneyline, cover the -1.5 spread, game total go under 156.5.
Predicted Score: North Carolina 78 – Kansas 75