Match Analysis: New York Knicks vs Minnesota Timberwolves – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-05
- Time: 12:30 AM UTC
- Location: Madison Square Garden
Game Overview
The New York Knicks (4-3) host the Minnesota Timberwolves (4-3) in a high-profile NBA matchup. Both teams are evenly matched in the standings, but the Knicks are riding a four-game home winning streak and are favored by 4.5 points. The game features a revenge storyline with Karl-Anthony Towns facing his former team, and Anthony Edwards is questionable for Minnesota due to a hamstring injury.
Key Factors to Consider
- The Knicks are 4-3 overall and 4-3 ATS, showing strong home form. The Timberwolves are 4-3 overall but just 2-5 ATS, struggling to cover as favorites. New York ranks 5th in rebounding (53.3%), while Minnesota is 17th (49.3%).
- Recent matchups are split: Knicks won 133-107 as underdogs in December 2024, while the Timberwolves won 116-99 as underdogs in January 2025. Both games were blowouts, but the Knicks have shown dominance at home.
- Anthony Edwards (hamstring) is questionable for Minnesota, a major blow to their offense. The Knicks are relatively healthy, with no major injuries reported.
- The game is at Madison Square Garden, a tough venue for visitors. The Knicks have won four straight at home. The Timberwolves are on the road and may be affected by travel and the hostile environment.
- Karl-Anthony Towns faces his former team, adding extra motivation for the Knicks. The Timberwolves are motivated to prove themselves against a top Eastern Conference team, but Edwards' status is a major concern.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | home: -185, away: 154 | New York Knicks | β β β β β 74% |
| Spread | home: -4.5 -105, away: 4.5 -115 | New York Knicks -4.5 | β β β β β 72% |
| Over/under | over: 228.5 -110, under: 228.5 -110 | Under 228.5 | β β β ββ 68% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | New York Knicks 0% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 228.5 15% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 228.5 at 15% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
The Knicks will win and cover the spread, but the game will stay under the total due to defensive intensity and Edwards' absence.
Predicted Score: Knicks 115, Timberwolves 112