Match Analysis: Rochester Americans vs Syracuse Crunch – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-06
- Time: 12:05 AM UTC
- Location: Rochester Americans Home Arena
Game Overview
This AHL matchup features Rochester Americans hosting Syracuse Crunch, two closely matched teams with a long competitive history and no clear favorite. Recent form slightly favors Rochester, who have a strong home record and good recent performances.
Key Factors to Consider
- Rochester Americans have won 7 of their last 10 games and remain unbeaten in 8 of their last 9 matchups against Syracuse in regular time. Syracuse has competitive form but has struggled against Rochester historically.
- In 130 official matches, Syracuse leads with 69 wins versus Rochester's 58, but Rochester has dominated recent encounters including a 4-2 home win on 22 October 2025. Average total goals in head-to-head matches is 5.52.
- No major injury reports or significant absences reported for either side affecting key players.
- No impactful external factors such as travel fatigue or weather conditions; standard indoor arena conditions apply.
- Rochester is motivated to assert home dominance and maintain an unbeaten streak versus Syracuse, whereas Syracuse seeks to break that trend and improve road form.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | -127 (Rochester), -115 (Syracuse) | Rochester Americans | β β β ββ 68% |
| Spread | -1.5 Rochester +215, +1.5 Syracuse -315 | Rochester Americans -1.5 | β β β ββ 60% |
| Over/under | Over 5.5 +107, Under 5.5 -143 | Under 5.5 goals | β β β ββ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Rochester Americans 2% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 5.5 5% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 5.5 at 5% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 7.7% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Rochester Americans to win on the moneyline, Rochester Americans to cover the -1.5 spread, and the total goals to go under 5.5
Predicted Score: 3-1