Match Analysis: Toronto Maple Leafs vs Utah Mammoth – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-06
- Time: 12:00 AM UTC
- Location: Scotiabank Arena, Toronto
Game Overview
The Toronto Maple Leafs host the Utah Mammoth in an NHL regular season matchup. The Maple Leafs enter as favorites with home-ice advantage, facing a Utah team that is less experienced and lower-ranked in recent form.
Key Factors to Consider
- Toronto has shown strong home form and a high-scoring offense, winning 7 of their last 10 games. Utah has struggled away, winning only 3 of their last 10 and showing inconsistency on offense and defense.
- The teams have met twice in the current season with Toronto winning both matchups, including a close 4-3 game at Utah and a more dominant 5-2 win at Toronto.
- Torontoβs key players, including Auston Matthews and Mitch Marner, are healthy and expected to play. Utah is missing defenseman Cam Smith due to injury, weakening their blue line.
- Toronto benefits from home crowd support and a rested squad after a day off. Utah faces back-to-back road games this week, which may impact fatigue and performance.
- Toronto is pushing to solidify playoff positioning and maintain momentum. Utah is fighting to stay relevant in a competitive division but faces an uphill battle on the road.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Toronto Maple Leafs: -167, Utah Mammoth: 133 | Toronto Maple Leafs | β β β β β 78% |
| Spread | Toronto Maple Leafs -1.5: 150, Utah Mammoth +1.5: -190 | Toronto Maple Leafs -1.5 | β β β β β 70% |
| Over/under | Over 6.5: 100, Under 6.5: -122 | Over 6.5 goals | β β β ββ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Toronto Maple Leafs 1% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 6.5 14% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 6.5 at 14% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 14% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Toronto Maple Leafs to win outright (moneyline), cover the -1.5 puck line, and the game to go Over 6.5 goals.
Predicted Score: Toronto Maple Leafs 4 – 2 Utah Mammoth