Match Analysis: Temple Owls vs Delaware St Hornets – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-06
- Time: 12:00 AM UTC
- Location: Liacouras Center, Philadelphia
Game Overview
Season opener for both teams, neither with previous game stats for 2025-26. Temple outclassed Delaware St 85-48 in their last meeting. Public betting heavily favors Temple, despite early line movement showing some value on Delaware St with the points.
Key Factors to Consider
- Both teams coming off losses to close their previous seasons. Temple averaged 78.8 PPG (58th nationally), Delaware St 78.7 PPG (61st), but both defenses were weak last year. Temple allowed 77.7 PPG (321st), Del St 74.3 (249th). Temple struggles with assists (346th), while Del St is slightly better (141st). Del St shoots better from the field (46.1% vs. 44.8%) but turns the ball over more (12.2 TO/game, 277th).
- Temple dominated last H2H, 85-48. Large historical edge for Temple, but both rosters likely changed significantly since.
- No significant injuries reported for either team as of tip-off[6].
- Home opener for Temple; Delaware St travels but not a long trip. Line has tightened (opened at -18.5 for Temple, now -17.5), suggesting some sharp interest in Del St + the points[4].
- Temple expected to start season strong at home. Delaware St will look to compete but is still rebuilding.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Temple -3500, Delaware St +1280 | Temple wins | β β β β β 90% |
| Spread | Delaware St +17.5 (-104), Temple -17.5 (-118) | Delaware St +17.5 covers | β β β ββ 68% |
| Over/under | Over 154.5 -115, Under 154.5 -105 | Over 154.5 | β β β ββ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Temple Owls 1142% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 154.5 8% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Temple Owls at 1142% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 89.2% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Temple's superior talent, home court, and historical edge should prevail, but Delaware St's efficient shooting and improved assist numbers may keep this closer than the spread suggests. The total could be pushed by both teams' weak defenses and moderate pace.
Predicted Score: Temple 84, Delaware St 70