Match Analysis: Butler Bulldogs vs Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-05
- Time: 12:00 AM UTC
- Location: Hinkle Fieldhouse, Indianapolis, Indiana
Game Overview
Butler Bulldogs open their season at home against Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles. Butler is a heavy favorite, with a spread of -20.5 and a total set at 155.5. Both teams are replacing significant production from last season, and this is their first game of the year.
Key Factors to Consider
- Butler finished last season with a 74.7 PPG average (147th nationally) and allowed 74.9 PPG (267th). Southern Indiana averaged 71.5 PPG (246th) and allowed 73.5 PPG (225th). Both teams struggled defensively last year, but Butler has a clear edge in offensive efficiency (46% FG, 103rd) compared to Southern Indiana (42.8% FG, 282nd).
- No recent H2H matchups are available for this season, but both teams are starting fresh with new rosters and coaching strategies.
- No significant injuries reported for either team.
- Butler plays at home in Hinkle Fieldhouse, a strong venue for them. The game is broadcast on ESPN+, which may add some pressure for Butler to perform well in front of a national audience.
- Both teams are motivated to start the season with a win, but Butler has more to prove after a disappointing end to last season and a need to reload quickly.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | home: -4500, away: 1600 | Butler Bulldogs | β β β β β 95% |
| Spread | home: -20.5 -115, away: 20.5 -105 | Butler Bulldogs -20.5 | β β β β β 75% |
| Over/under | over: 155.5 -110, under: 155.5 -110 | Under 155.5 | β β β ββ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Butler Bulldogs -3% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 155.5 15% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 155.5 at 15% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Butler Bulldogs will win and cover the spread, but the game will stay under the total due to both teams' slow start and defensive struggles.
Predicted Score: Butler 82, Southern Indiana 68