Match Analysis: Vitoria vs Internacional – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-05
- Time: 10:00 PM UTC
- Location: Estadio Manoel Barradas
Game Overview
Vitoria hosts Internacional in a Brasileirão Serie A clash with both teams battling for mid-table stability. Vitoria has shown resilience at home but struggles defensively, while Internacional has been inconsistent on the road but maintains a slight edge in overall quality.
Key Factors to Consider
- Vitoria has won 7, drawn 10, and lost 14 in 31 games, with a -19 goal difference. Internacional sits just above them with 9 wins, 9 draws, 13 losses, and a -8 goal difference. Vitoria has conceded in their last 7 meetings against Internacional, but their home form gives them a slight edge in this matchup.
- The two teams have played 24 official matches, with Vitoria winning 10, Internacional 9, and 5 draws. The average total goals per match is 2.5, with a slight bias toward home wins. Internacional has scored in the last 7 encounters.
- No major injuries reported for either side. Both teams are expected to field their strongest available lineups.
- The match is played at Estadio Manoel Barradas, where Vitoria tends to perform better. Weather conditions are expected to be favorable for football.
- Both teams are fighting to avoid relegation and secure a mid-table finish. Vitoria is slightly more motivated at home, while Internacional seeks to improve their away record.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | home: 159, away: 185, draw: 205 | Vitoria | ★★★★☆ 74% |
| Spread | home: -120, away: 100 | Vitoria 0 | ★★★☆☆ 68% |
| Over/under | over: 105, under: -125 | Under 2.25 | ★★★★☆ 72% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Vitoria 45% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 2.25 12% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Vitoria at 45% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 28.3% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Vitoria will win a tight, low-scoring match. Their home advantage and recent form give them the edge, but Internacional's ability to score in past meetings suggests a narrow victory.
Predicted Score: 1-0