Match Analysis: Sunderland vs Everton – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-03
 - Time: 8:00 PM UTC
 - Location: Stadium of Light
 
Game Overview
Sunderland hosts Everton in a Premier League clash with Sunderland showing better recent form and home advantage, while Everton suffers from key injuries and recent poor results.
Key Factors to Consider
- Sunderland is on a strong recent run with 3 wins in their last 5 games and good performance against the spread. Everton has struggled recently with consecutive losses and poorer form.
 - Recent head-to-head favors Sunderland marginally, with Sunderland confident at home and Everton missing key defensive players.
 - Everton is missing Nathan Patterson and Jarrad Branthwaite; Sunderland has no fresh injury concerns, with Talbi pushing for a start.
 - Match venue is Sunderland's home ground where they have performed well; Everton has difficulties with away form.
 - Sunderland aims to build momentum after consecutive victories including a morale-boosting win over Chelsea; Everton seeks recovery but faces pressure from form and missing players.
 
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence | 
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Everton: +162, Sunderland: +174, Draw: +208 | Sunderland | β β β ββ 68% | 
| Spread | Everton -0.5: +155, Sunderland +50: -210 | Sunderland +0.5 | β β β β β 70% | 
| Over/under | Over 2.5: +125, Under 2.5: -167 | Under 2.5 Goals | β β β β β 72% | 
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick | 
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Sunderland 21% | 
| Spread | N/A | 
| Over/Under | Under 2.5 -4% | 
π₯ Best Value Pick: Sunderland at 21% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 11.8% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Sunderland to win on the moneyline, covering the +0.5 spread, with a low scoring game under 2.5 goals.
Predicted Score: 1-0