Match Analysis: Oviedo vs CA Osasuna – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-03
 - Time: 8:00 PM UTC
 - Location: Estadio Nuevo Carlos Tartiere
 
Game Overview
La Liga matchup between Real Oviedo hosting CA Osasuna, both teams evenly matched with Osasuna having slightly better recent form and winning probability. Oviedo struggles at home recently while Osasuna shows better consistency on the road.
Key Factors to Consider
- Oviedo has a poor recent home form (1-5-1 record in last 7 matches), showing offensive and defensive fragilities. Osasuna has a stronger overall record with about 39.5% win probability and better recent form.
 - Historically balanced with no dominant team in recent encounters; simulations show a close margin with probabilities: Osasuna ~39.5%, Oviedo ~31.5%, draw ~29%.
 - No significant injury updates reported that would heavily impact starting lineups for either side.
 - Playing at Oviedo’s home ground could favor home side slightly, but current form and motivation favor Osasuna.
 - Osasuna appears more motivated to secure an away victory to improve league standing, while Oviedo struggles to capitalize on home advantage.
 
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence | 
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | home: +200, away: +157, draw: +200 | Away (CA Osasuna) | ★★★★☆ 74% | 
| Spread | home: +110, away: -130 | Away (Osasuna) -0 | ★★★★☆ 70% | 
| Over/under | over: -122, under: +102 | Under 2 goals | ★★★☆☆ 68% | 
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick | 
|---|---|
| Moneyline | CA Osasuna 18% | 
| Spread | N/A | 
| Over/Under | Under 2 31% | 
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2 at 31% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 30.7% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Moneyline: Osasuna win; Spread: Osasuna -0; Over/Under: Under 2 goals
Predicted Score: 0-1