Match Analysis: Murray St Racers vs Omaha Mavericks – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-03
 - Time: 6:30 PM UTC
 - Location: Murray State University
 
Game Overview
Murray State Racers host the Omaha Mavericks in a non-conference NCAAB matchup. Both teams are starting their seasons, with Murray State favored at home.
Key Factors to Consider
- Murray State finished last season strong, with a solid MVC record and a top-75 KenPom profile. Omaha struggled in Summit League play, ranking outside the top 200 in adjusted efficiency. Early season form is unknown, but Murray State's returning core gives them a clear edge in experience and depth.
 - No recent H2H matchups between these programs. First meeting in over a decade, so no meaningful historical trends.
 - No major injuries reported for either team as of pre-season. Both squads are expected to be at full strength for opening night.
 - Murray State plays in a strong home environment with passionate fan support. Omaha is traveling cross-country, facing a significant time zone change and early-season rust.
 - Murray State is motivated to build on last year's success and make a statement in non-conference play. Omaha is looking to prove themselves against a higher-level opponent but may be overmatched in their opener.
 
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence | 
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | home: -205, away: 168 | Murray St Racers | β β β β β 74% | 
| Spread | home: -3.5 -120, away: 3.5 -102 | Murray St Racers -3.5 | β β β ββ 68% | 
| Over/under | over: 146.5 -110, under: 146.5 -110 | Over 146.5 | β β β ββ 62% | 
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick | 
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Murray St Racers 1% | 
| Spread | N/A | 
| Over/Under | Over 146.5 11% | 
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 146.5 at 11% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 11.8% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Murray State wins comfortably, covering the spread and pushing the game over the total with their offensive firepower.
Predicted Score: 78-67