Match Analysis: Boston Celtics vs Houston Rockets – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: Saturday, November 1, 2025
- Time: 12:10 AM UTC
- Location: TD Garden, Boston, Massachusetts
Game Overview
The Boston Celtics (3-3) host the Houston Rockets (2-2) in a non-conference matchup at TD Garden. The Celtics are riding a three-game win streak, while the Rockets have won two straight. The game features a high total line and a spread favoring the Rockets by 5.5 points.
Key Factors to Consider
- Celtics are 3-3 but have won three straight, including a narrow road win over the 76ers. Rockets are 2-2 with two straight wins, including a recent road victory over Toronto. Celtics have shown strong offensive form, led by Jaylen Brown (27.7 PPG), while Rockets feature Kevin Durant (27.5 PPG).
- Celtics have won 8 of the last 10 meetings against the Rockets, indicating a strong historical advantage.
- Rockets are missing Dorian Finney-Smith (ankle), a key defensive forward. Celtics report no major injuries, with Derrick White and Jaylen Brown active.
- Game is at TD Garden, a strong home venue for the Celtics. National TV coverage (NBCS-BOS/SCHN) may add pressure, but Celtics are accustomed to high-profile games.
- Celtics are motivated to extend their win streak and improve their home record. Rockets aim to continue their momentum and prove themselves against a top Eastern Conference team.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | home: 176, away: -210 | Houston Rockets | Not available |
| Spread | home: 5.5, away: -5.5 | Boston Celtics +5.5 | Not available |
| Over/under | over: 225.5, under: 225.5 | Over | Not available |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Houston Rockets -6% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 225.5 31% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 225.5 at 31% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 33.4% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Boston Celtics cover the spread and keep the game close, but Rockets win outright.
Predicted Score: 118-114