Match Analysis: Indiana Pacers vs Golden State Warriors – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-01
- Time: 11:10 PM UTC
- Location: Gainbridge Fieldhouse, Indianapolis, IN
Game Overview
The winless Pacers (0-5) host the Warriors (4-2), who are coming off a loss to the Bucks and are adjusting to their aging core. Indiana is on a five-game losing streak, struggling both offensively and defensively, while Golden State remains a high-scoring, analytically strong team despite recent road losses.
Key Factors to Consider
- Warriors average 119 PPG (47.4% FG) and allow 116 PPG (48.8% FG), with strong three-point shooting and discipline at the line. Pacers recently lost 128β108 at home to the Hawks; despite quality individual performances, their team defense and execution remain poor[2][3].
- Pacers have surprisingly won 7 of the last 10 meetings, but current form and rosters make this data less predictive for tonightβs game[3].
- No major inactives reported for either team; Alex Toohey (Warriors) is the only injury of note and is not a rotation player[4].
- Pacers on a back-to-back with tired legs and a limited roster, increasing the Warriors' advantage[2].
- Warriors are keen to bounce back from a road loss; Pacers desperate to avoid an 0-6 start.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Warriors -460, Pacers +360 | Warriors win | β β β β β 85% |
| Spread | Warriors -10.5 -110, Pacers +10.5 -110 | Pacers +10.5 | β β β ββ 65% |
| Over/under | Over 231.5 -110, Under 231.5 -110 | Over 231.5 | β β β β β 72% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Golden State Warriors 282% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 231.5 30% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Golden State Warriors at 282% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 78.3% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Warriors dominate, but Pacers may keep the final margin below the spread.
Predicted Score: Warriors 124, Pacers 114