Match Analysis: Charlotte Hornets vs Minnesota Timberwolves – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-01
- Time: 10:10 PM UTC
- Location: Spectrum Center
Game Overview
Charlotte Hornets host Minnesota Timberwolves in a non-conference matchup. Both teams enter at 2-3, with the Timberwolves favored by 5.5 points. The Hornets boast the league's best scoring offense but are missing key contributors, while the Timberwolves are without Anthony Edwards and dealing with injuries. The over/under is set at 229.5, reflecting a high-scoring expectation.
Key Factors to Consider
- Hornets are 3-2 ATS, with games going over the total 80% of the time. Timberwolves are 0-5 ATS, averaging 114.2 points but allowing 119. They've lost 3 of their last 4 games and are struggling defensively.
- Timberwolves won both meetings last season by double digits as heavy favorites. Hornets have not covered in those matchups, but both games went over the total.
- Timberwolves: Anthony Edwards (out), Jaylen Clark (questionable). Hornets: LaMelo Ball (questionable), Miles Bridges (active). Edwards' absence is a major blow to Minnesota's offense.
- Hornets are at home, where they are 1-1 this season. Timberwolves are on the road, where they are 1-2. The game is being played on a Saturday night, with no major scheduling or travel fatigue concerns.
- Both teams are fighting to avoid a losing record and improve their playoff positioning. The Hornets are motivated to prove their offensive prowess at home, while the Timberwolves need a win to stop a losing streak.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | 176 | Charlotte Hornets | β β β β β 72% |
| Spread | 5.5 -114 | Charlotte Hornets +5.5 | β β β β β 74% |
| Over/under | 229.5 -112 | Over 229.5 | β β β β β 70% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Charlotte Hornets 71% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 229.5 23% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Charlotte Hornets at 71% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 40.4% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
The Hornets' high-powered offense at home, combined with the Timberwolves' defensive struggles and the absence of Anthony Edwards, makes them the best value on the moneyline and against the spread. The total is likely to go over given both teams' scoring trends and recent form.
Predicted Score: Hornets 123 – Timberwolves 117