Match Analysis: Utica Comets vs W-B/Scranton Penguins – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-01
- Time: 10:00 PM UTC
- Location: Adirondack Bank Center
Game Overview
The Utica Comets host the Wilkes-Barre/Scranton Penguins in a pivotal Atlantic Division matchup. Both teams are trending in opposite directions, with WBS showing strong early form and Utica struggling defensively. The Penguins are the clear favorites, but Uticaβs home ice and recent roster moves add some intrigue.
Key Factors to Consider
- W-B/Scranton leads the division with a perfect 7-0-0-0 record, boasting a +12 goal differential and strong goaltending. Utica sits near the bottom of the standings with a 3-6-0-0 record, a -10 goal differential, and inconsistent performances. WBS has won 4 of their last 5 games, while Utica has lost 4 of their last 5.
- WBS has dominated recent meetings, including a 4-0 win over Utica on October 24th. The Penguins have won 3 of the last 4 matchups, with Uticaβs only win coming in a shootout. WBS has outscored Utica 12-4 in those games.
- No major injuries reported for either team. Both rosters are at full strength, with key players available for both sides.
- Utica is playing at home, but their home record is poor (0-2-1-0). WBS has a strong road record (4-0-0-0). The weather is mild, with no travel disruptions expected.
- WBS is fighting to maintain their top spot in the division, while Utica is desperate for points to climb out of the basement. Both teams have playoff aspirations, but WBS has more to lose with a slip-up.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | home: 145, away: -220 | W-B/Scranton Penguins | β β β β β 78% |
| Spread | home: -182, away: 135 | W-B/Scranton Penguins -1.5 | β β β β β 72% |
| Over/under | over: -104, under: -130 | Under 5.5 | β β β β β 70% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | W-B/Scranton Penguins -1% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 5.5 15% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 5.5 at 15% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 19.5% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
W-B/Scranton Penguins to win outright, cover the -1.5 spread, and the game to go under 5.5 goals.
Predicted Score: Utica Comets 1 – 3 W-B/Scranton Penguins