Match Analysis: Las Vegas Raiders vs Jacksonville Jaguars – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-02
- Time: 9:05 PM UTC
- Location: Allegiant Stadium
Game Overview
Two teams coming off their bye week meet in Las Vegas, with both looking to reset their seasons. The Jaguars, despite some injury concerns, are slight favorites on the road. The Raiders are aiming to snap their offensive struggles, having been held under 30 points in 27 straight games—the longest active streak in the NFL[1].
Key Factors to Consider
- The Jaguars have shown more consistency on both sides of the ball compared to the Raiders, who have struggled to score and are 1-5 ATS in their last six games[1]. Jacksonville's rookie receiver Travis Hunter is coming off a breakout game, while Brian Thomas Jr. is limited by a shoulder injury[1]. Raiders' defense is allowing the fourth-most fantasy points to wide receivers, hinting at a potential weakness[1].
- Recent head-to-head data is not explicitly provided in the search results, but both teams have had similar struggles this season, making this a relatively evenly matched contest on paper[3].
- Jaguars have several key players questionable, including WR Brian Thomas Jr. (shoulder) and CB Jourdan Lewis (neck). Raiders' injury report is less detailed in the available data, but no major absences are highlighted[1][4].
- Both teams are coming off a bye, which could help with health and preparation. The game is in Las Vegas, but no significant weather or venue factors are noted.
- Both teams are in the middle of the pack and need a win to stay relevant in their respective divisions. The Raiders are particularly motivated to end their scoring drought[1].
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | JAX -148, LV 124 | Jacksonville Jaguars | ★★★☆☆ 62% |
| Spread | JAX -2.5 -115, LV +2.5 -105 | Las Vegas Raiders +2.5 | ★★★☆☆ 58% |
| Over/under | Over 44.5 -108, Under 44.5 -112 | Under 44.5 | ★★★☆☆ 64% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Jacksonville Jaguars -8% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 44.5 8% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 44.5 at 8% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 8.8% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
The Jaguars' slightly better form, especially on offense, gives them the edge, but the game is likely to be closer than the spread suggests. The Raiders' offensive struggles make the under a compelling play.
Predicted Score: Jacksonville Jaguars 24, Las Vegas Raiders 21
