Match Analysis: FC Porto vs Braga – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-02
- Time: 8:30 PM UTC
- Location: Estádio Do Dragão
Game Overview
FC Porto hosts Braga in the Liga Portugal Round 10 at Estádio Do Dragão. Porto is historically dominant in this fixture and currently shows stronger form and defensive solidity at home, while Braga remains competitive but less consistent.
Key Factors to Consider
- FC Porto has won 4 of their last 5 matches, scoring 13 goals and maintaining 7 clean sheets, ranking 3rd at home this season. Braga has a stable run but fewer wins (1 in last 5) and concedes on average 1 goal per match.
- FC Porto leads the historical H2H with 32 wins to Braga's 12 and 12 draws since 2003, showing a strong home advantage with Porto winning dominant matches against Braga.
- No critical injuries reported affecting starting lineups for either side, maintaining full strength.
- Match played at FC Porto's Estádio Do Dragão, which favors the home team given their strong home form.
- FC Porto is motivated to assert dominance at home to secure a top position in the table, while Braga aims to upset but lacks the recent form to confidently challenge.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | FC Porto: -188, Braga: 500, Draw: 305 | FC Porto | ★★★★☆ 75% |
| Spread | FC Porto -1: -108, Braga +1: -112 | FC Porto -1 | ★★★★☆ 70% |
| Over/under | Over 2.5: 102, Under 2.5: -122 | Under 2.5 | ★★★☆☆ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | FC Porto -8% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 2.5 9% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 9% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 11.2% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
FC Porto to win (Moneyline), FC Porto -1 spread, Under 2.5 goals
Predicted Score: 2-0