Match Analysis: Parma vs Bologna – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-02
- Time: 5:00 PM UTC
- Location: Parma, Italy
Game Overview
This Serie A clash features struggling Parma hosting Bologna who have been in better recent form. Parma sit last in the table with offensive struggles, while Bologna carry momentum from a six-match unbeaten streak.
Key Factors to Consider
- Parma have scored in only 3 of 8 games this season, showing poor attacking output; Bologna have won 2 of their last 3 away games and remain unbeaten in 6 league matches recently.
- Recent head-to-head favors Bologna with better results and scoring record; Parma have failed to capitalize at home against Bologna in previous encounters.
- No significant injury news favoring Parma; Bologna appear relatively healthy and with a stable lineup.
- No major external disruptions expected; match at Parma's home ground with typical conditions.
- Bologna motivated to extend their unbeaten run and climb towards mid-table safety; Parma under pressure at the bottom, but low scoring reduces their leverage.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Bologna +108, Parma +315, Draw +200 | Bologna | β β β β β 72% |
| Spread | Bologna -0.5 +108, Parma +50 -128 | Bologna -0.5 | β β β ββ 68% |
| Over/under | Over 2 -122, Under 2 +102 | Under 2 | β β β ββ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Bologna 14% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 2 21% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 2 at 21% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 20.8% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Bologna moneyline win
Predicted Score: 0-1