Match Analysis: Manchester City vs Bournemouth – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-02
- Time: 4:30 PM UTC
- Location: Etihad Stadium, Manchester
Game Overview
Manchester City hosts Bournemouth in a Premier League clash where City looks to rebound strongly after a slight dip in form, currently 5th and 6 points behind the leaders, while Bournemouth are expected to struggle away.
Key Factors to Consider
- Manchester City has won 8 of their last 11 games, including 4 straight home wins showing strong attacking and defensive form. Bournemouth have been inconsistent and struggle against top teams.
- Historically, Manchester City dominates Bournemouth with a high winning rate at home and significant goal differences in recent fixtures.
- Manchester Cityβs Rodri is out, but key players including Haaland are expected to feature. Bournemouth has no major injury news affecting starters.
- No notable external factors impacting this match; conditions expected to be typical for early November at Etihad.
- City pursuing top 4 to close gap to leaders with strong motivation; Bournemouth likely aiming for survival points but with lower practical chances against the league leaders.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | bournemouth: 460, manchester_city: -204, draw: 360 | Manchester City | β β β β β 82% |
| Spread | bournemouth: -166, manchester_city: 124 | Manchester City -1.5 | β β β β β 75% |
| Over/under | over_3.5: 130, under_3.5: -174 | Under 3.5 goals | β β β β β 70% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Manchester City 4% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 3.5 -6% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Manchester City at 4% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 8.8% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Manchester City to win outright (Moneyline), covering the -1.5 goal spread, and total goals under 3.5.
Predicted Score: Manchester City 2 – 0 Bournemouth