Match Analysis: AVS Futebol SAD vs Tondela – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-02
- Time: 3:30 PM UTC
- Location: Estádio Municipal de Vila das Aves
Game Overview
AVS Futebol SAD faces Tondela in a Primeira Liga clash with both teams struggling for consistency. AVS is winless in their last five matches, while Tondela has shown modest improvement but remains vulnerable. The match is expected to be low-scoring, with both sides lacking attacking firepower and defensive solidity.
Key Factors to Consider
- AVS Futebol SAD has lost five consecutive matches across all competitions, indicating poor form and low confidence. Tondela has won two, drawn one, and lost two of their last five, showing some resilience but inconsistency. Both teams have struggled to score and have conceded regularly.
- Recent H2H data is limited, but previous encounters suggest closely contested matches with low scoring. Neither team has dominated the other recently.
- No major injuries reported for either side, but both squads have depth issues, especially in attacking positions.
- AVS is at home, but their home form is poor. Tondela travels with a compact squad and may be fatigued from recent fixtures. Weather is expected to be mild, with no significant impact on play.
- Both teams are fighting to avoid relegation, adding pressure. AVS needs a win to boost morale, while Tondela seeks to consolidate their position above the drop zone.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | home: 210, away: 134, draw: 215 | Tondela | ★★★☆☆ 68% |
| Spread | home: -122, away: 102 | Tondela -0.25 | ★★★☆☆ 65% |
| Over/under | over: -112, under: -108 | Under 2.25 | ★★★★☆ 72% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Tondela 5% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 2.25 25% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.25 at 25% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 27.2% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Tondela to win or draw is the highest EV play, but for a single outcome, Tondela is favored due to better recent form and AVS's poor run.
Predicted Score: AVS Futebol SAD 0-1 Tondela