Match Analysis: Alavés vs Espanyol – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-02
- Time: 3:15 PM UTC
- Location: Estadio Mendizorroza
Game Overview
Alavés hosts Espanyol in a La Liga clash where both teams are in decent form. Espanyol sits fifth with 18 points, while Alavés is mid-table with 12. The home side has been tough to beat at Mendizorroza, but Espanyol boasts superior attacking numbers. Recent H2H and expert analysis suggest a tight, low-scoring affair.
Key Factors to Consider
- Espanyol has been La Liga's early surprise, earning 18 points from 10 matches and scoring 14 goals. Alavés has 12 points and 9 goals, but has been resilient at home. Both teams have shown defensive solidity, with Alavés conceding few at home and Espanyol keeping clean sheets in recent away games.
- In the last 5 meetings, Alavés won 1, Espanyol won 2, and 2 ended in draws. Espanyol has scored over 2.5 goals in 2 of their last 5 H2Hs, while Alavés has done so in just 1. The trend favors Espanyol slightly, but the matches have been tight.
- No major injuries reported for either side. Both squads are at full strength, which supports a competitive match.
- The match is at Mendizorroza, where Alavés has been tough to beat. Weather is expected to be mild with no impact on play. No crowd or travel issues are anticipated.
- Espanyol is fighting for a top-half finish and European qualification, while Alavés is aiming to avoid relegation and build momentum. Both teams have strong motivation, but Espanyol's higher league position adds extra pressure to perform.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | home: 143, away: 225, draw: 195 | Espanyol | ★★★☆☆ 68% |
| Spread | home: 105, away: -125 | Espanyol -0.25 | ★★★☆☆ 65% |
| Over/under | over: -112, under: -108 | Under 2 | ★★★★☆ 72% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Espanyol 56% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 2 39% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Espanyol at 56% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 24.9% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
The match is expected to be tight, but Espanyol's superior form and attacking quality should edge it. Alavés will make it difficult, but Espanyol's ability to score and their higher motivation give them the edge in a low-scoring game.
Predicted Score: 1-1