Match Analysis: Levante vs Celta Vigo – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-02
- Time: 1:00 PM UTC
- Location: Estadio Ciudad de Valencia
Game Overview
Levante and Celta Vigo meet in a La Liga clash with both teams struggling near the bottom of the table. Levante has been inconsistent at home without a win so far this season, while Celta recently secured a morale-boosting away victory against Osasuna. The contest is expected to be competitive with marginal edge to Celta due to better recent form and squad fitness.
Key Factors to Consider
- Levante is 13th with 10 points from 10 matches, managing only 1 win and 7 draws but showing defensive fragility. Celta Vigo is 15th with 9 points, winning 2 and losing 5 games but coming off a positive 3-2 away win. Levante’s home struggles contrast with Celta’s improving away form.
- Recent encounters have been closely contested with a tendency toward draws, though Celta has managed slight superiority historically. Data suggests a tight match with low scoring tendencies.
- Celta benefits from Carl Starfelt's return from suspension improving their defense. Levante has no major new injuries but lacks consistency in squad availability. No significant fresh injury concerns for either side.
- No notable external disruptions; neutral weather and typical stadium conditions at Estadio Ciudad de Valencia.
- Levante aims to secure their first home win to improve league standing and avoid relegation. Celta seeks to build momentum after recent victory to climb out of the lower table region.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Levante: +188, Celta Vigo: +147, Draw: +235 | Celta Vigo | ★★★☆☆ 65% |
| Spread | Celta Vigo 0: -128, Levante 0: +108 | Celta Vigo 0 spread | ★★★☆☆ 62% |
| Over/under | Over 2.75: +102, Under 2.75: -122 | Under 2.75 goals | ★★★★☆ 70% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Celta Vigo 11% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 2.75 13% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.75 at 13% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 15.6% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Celta Vigo moneyline win
Predicted Score: 1-2