Match Analysis: Hellas Verona vs Inter Milan – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-02
- Time: 11:30 AM UTC
- Location: Stadio Marcantonio Bentegodi, Verona
Game Overview
Inter Milan, a title contender, visits an out-of-form Hellas Verona on matchday 10. Verona sits at the bottom, winless and struggling to score, despite a generally weak schedule. Inter are heavy favorites, with superior quality and recent form on their side.
Key Factors to Consider
- Hellas Verona remain winless in Serie A, with a recent record of L D D L L; they average just 0.56 goals scored and have failed to score in 56% of matches. Inter Milan are in a strong position in the league, exhibiting clinical attacking play and a robust defense against weaker opposition[4]. Verona have struggled even against lower-division sides, underlining their current crisis[2].
- Inter Milan generally dominate this fixture, with Hellas Verona rarely taking points off the Milanese giants. Historical trends strongly favor Inter, especially in matches where Verona are struggling for form.
- No major injury news reported for either side. Current squad depth and fitness favor Inter, who are expected to field a strong lineup.
- No significant external factors (weather, referee, etc.) reported. The fixture takes place at Veronaβs home, but their poor home form (0.75 PPG, 0% win rate) offers little advantage[4].
- Inter Milan are motivated to keep pace at the top of the table and will target a routine win. Verona, despite likely fighting for survival, show little evidence of an imminent turnaround, lacking confidence and attacking threat[2][4].
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Hellas Verona +625, Draw +405, Inter Milan -255 | Inter Milan | β β β β β 88% |
| Spread | Hellas Verona +1.25 -108, Inter Milan -1.25 -112 | Inter Milan -1.25 | β β β β β 78% |
| Over/under | Over 2.75 -105, Under 2.75 -115 | Under 2.75 | β β β ββ 68% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Inter Milan -10% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 2.75 8% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 2.75 at 8% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 9.7% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Inter Milan are expected to comfortably dispatch a struggling Hellas Verona, with a low-scoring game likely given Veronaβs attacking impotence and Interβs defensive solidity.
Predicted Score: Hellas Verona 0-2 Inter Milan