Match Analysis: Joshua Buatsi vs Zach Parker – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-01
- Time: 10:00 PM UTC
- Location: Co-op Live Arena, Manchester, United Kingdom
Game Overview
Joshua Buatsi faces Zach Parker in a WBO International Light Heavyweight title bout at the Co-op Live Arena. Buatsi is a significant favorite with a strong championship background and higher public recognition, while Parker is seen as the underdog with a more modest title resume.
Key Factors to Consider
- Buatsi is undefeated in recent fights with consistent dominant performances and strong stoppage power. Parker has been competitive regionally but has not faced the elite level Buatsi has overcome.
- No previous head-to-head experience between Buatsi and Parker, making the fight a fresh matchup where Buatsi's greater skill and experience creates a distinct edge.
- No reported injuries or health concerns for either fighter ahead of the bout.
- The fight is held in Manchester, Buatsi's home country, likely providing home crowd advantage and comfort with the venue.
- Buatsi aims to solidify his standing as a top light heavyweight contender and capture the WBO International title, providing strong motivation. Parker seeks to leverage the upset opportunity for breakthrough recognition but has less at stake.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Joshua Buatsi: -605, Zach Parker: +405 | Joshua Buatsi | β β β β β 82% |
| Spread | Buatsi -3.5 rounds: -120, Parker +3.5 rounds: +100 | Buatsi -3.5 rounds | β β β β β 75% |
| Over/under | Over 9.5 rounds: -115, Under 9.5 rounds: -115 | Under 9.5 rounds | β β β β β 70% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Joshua Buatsi -4% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 9.5 12% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 9.5 at 12% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 14% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Joshua Buatsi to win by knockout or technical knockout within 9.5 rounds
Predicted Score: Joshua Buatsi wins by 7th round TKO