Match Analysis: Mirassol vs Botafogo – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-01
- Time: 9:00 PM UTC
- Location: Estádio José Maria de Campos Maia, Mirassol, Brazil
Game Overview
Mirassol hosts Botafogo in a key Brazilian Serie A match late in the season, with both teams highly competitive in the standings and coming off an exciting 3-3 draw earlier in the campaign.
Key Factors to Consider
- Mirassol currently sits 4th with 39 points, showing strong home form and attacking efficiency, especially in creating and finishing chances. Botafogo, placed 7th with 36 points, also possesses solid offense but has been less consistent away.
- Their only meeting this season ended in a 3-3 draw characterized by open attacking play and no clear dominance, reflecting a competitive balance between the sides.
- No significant injury reports prominently affect either side, suggesting near full-strength squads for this match.
- The game is played at Mirassol's home stadium, giving them a slight edge with home crowd support and familiarity with pitch conditions.
- Mirassol aims to consolidate a top-four position for potential continental qualification, while Botafogo seeks to close the gap and maintain pressure in a tight league race, enhancing the match's intensity.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Mirassol: +124, Botafogo: +215, Draw: +230 | Mirassol | ★★★☆☆ 67% |
| Spread | Mirassol -0.25: -108, Botafogo +25: -112 | Mirassol -0.25 | ★★★☆☆ 63% |
| Over/under | Over 2.5: +100, Under 2.5: -120 | Over 2.5 goals | ★★★★☆ 70% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Mirassol 12% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 2.5 16% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 2.5 at 16% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Moneyline: Mirassol win; Spread: Mirassol -0.25; Over/Under: Over 2.5 goals
Predicted Score: 2-1