Match Analysis: Cremonese vs Juventus – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-01
- Time: 7:45 PM UTC
- Location: Stadio Giovanni Zini, Cremona, Lombardy, Italy
Game Overview
Juventus enter as favorites against a competitive Cremonese side. Cremonese have demonstrated strong recent form and discipline, including a confident 2-0 away win in the previous round, while Juventus need points to push for a top-four Serie A position. Historical H2H favors Juventus without conceding, but Cremonese's home resilience and recent offensive improvements make for a compelling matchup.
Key Factors to Consider
- Cremonese are eighth with 14 points from 9 rounds, suffering only one defeat to Inter (1-4). They recently won 2-0 away at Genoa, showing attacking progress, especially from Federico Bonazzoli. Juventus have stronger overall class but need to improve consistency to climb the table.
- Two Serie A meetings in 2022/23 season, both won by Juventus (1-0 away, 2-0 home) without conceding, showing Juventus' historical dominance.
- No specific major injuries reported for either side affecting expected lineups significantly.
- Match played at Cremonese's home ground, where they tend to be more confident. The match timing and no extreme weather or external disruptions reported.
- Juventus motivated to return to top four, Cremonese motivated to prove their Serie A worth and build on recent good form.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | home: +525, away: -190, draw: +315 | Away | β β β β β 75% |
| Spread | home: +1 -110, away: -1 -110 | Away -1 | β β β β β 70% |
| Over/under | over: Over 2.5 -102, under: Under 2.5 -118 | Under 2.5 | β β β ββ 68% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Juventus 306% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 2.5 11% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Juventus at 306% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 58.3% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Juventus to win on the moneyline, Juventus -1 on the spread, and Under 2.5 goals
Predicted Score: 0-2