Match Analysis: Liberty Flames vs Delaware Blue Hens – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-01
- Time: 7:30 PM UTC
- Location: Williams Stadium (VA) in Lynchburg, Virginia
Game Overview
Liberty Flames host Delaware Blue Hens in a key NCAA matchup. Liberty enters with a 3-4 record and a strong home defense, while Delaware is 4-3 and boasts the 13th-ranked pass offense. The game features contrasting strengths and a high-scoring environment.
Key Factors to Consider
- Liberty is 3-4 overall, averaging 19.14 points scored and 21.57 conceded. Delaware is 4-3, with a top-15 passing offense. Liberty has covered the spread in 15 of their last 17 home games, but is just 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games overall. Delaware is 4-3 SU and has shown offensive consistency.
- The teams have not met before in this matchup, so no direct H2H data is available.
- No significant injuries reported for either team.
- The game is played at Liberty's home stadium, which may provide a slight edge. Weather is expected to be clear, with no adverse conditions.
- Both teams are fighting for bowl eligibility and conference positioning. Liberty is motivated to improve their home record, while Delaware seeks a road win against a ranked opponent.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | home: -158, away: 134 | Liberty Flames | β β β β β 74% |
| Spread | home: -3.5, away: 3.5 | Liberty Flames -3.5 | β β β β β 71% |
| Over/under | over: 51.5, under: 51.5 | Over 51.5 | β β β ββ 68% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Liberty Flames 1% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 51.5 11% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 51.5 at 11% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 12.8% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Liberty Flames will win outright, cover the spread, and the game will go over the total.
Predicted Score: Liberty Flames 28 – 24 Delaware Blue Hens