Match Analysis: South Alabama Jaguars vs Louisiana Ragin Cajuns – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-01
- Time: 7:30 PM UTC
- Location: Hancock Whitney Stadium
Game Overview
The South Alabama Jaguars host the Louisiana Ragin Cajuns in a Sun Belt Conference matchup. Both teams stand at 2-6 overall, reflecting comparable recent struggles. South Alabama is modestly favored to win at home with a 4.5-point spread.
Key Factors to Consider
- South Alabama has a slight edge with a recent win (38-31 over Georgia State) while Louisiana comes off a loss (23-35 to Troy). South Alabama shows stronger odds-based implied probabilities and better covering of the spread at home.
- Recent H2H matchups are limited but South Alabama has covered the spread more frequently as a home favorite in similar line situations this season.
- No significant injury updates are currently reported for either team that would impact the game outcome materially.
- The game is played at South Alabama's home stadium, giving them a home field advantage. Oklahoma standard weather conditions expected, no major external disruptions noted.
- Both teams have identical records, making conference and bowl eligibility motivation critical. South Alabama, playing at home, appears slightly more motivated to secure a statement win to turn their season around.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | South Alabama -172, Louisiana +144 | South Alabama | β β β ββ 67% |
| Spread | South Alabama -4.5 -102, Louisiana +4.5 -120 | South Alabama -4.5 | β β β ββ 62% |
| Over/under | Over 52.5 -110, Under 52.5 -110 | Over 52.5 | β β β ββ 58% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | South Alabama Jaguars -2% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 52.5 5% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 52.5 at 5% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 5.5% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
South Alabama Jaguars moneyline win
Predicted Score: South Alabama 31, Louisiana 21